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Featured local agent — Fairbanks Ranch, CA
Sarah Mitchell
Compass Real Estate · Fairbanks Ranch, CA
“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”
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Fairbanks Ranch, CA Housing Market
The last median sale price Redfin published was $3.65M, -11.0% year over year (through May 2026). With 4.6 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 25 days, Fairbanks Ranch is a leaning buyer's. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $3.65M home is about $18,765/mo in principal and interest.
Key numbers for Fairbanks Ranch, CA
Median sale price
$3.65M
-11.0% year over year
Redfin, through May 2026
Days on market
25
Average pace
Redfin, through May 2026
Active listings
23
4.6 months of supply
Redfin, through May 2026
30-yr fixed rate
6.66%
Freddie Mac weekly average
Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026
Median household income
$250,001
Home costs 14.6x income
U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Sale-to-list ratio
94.0%
Selling below asking
Redfin, through May 2026
Zillow figures refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.
Is Fairbanks Ranch a buyer's or seller's market?
Fairbanks Ranch, CA is a leaning buyer's, based on 4.6 months of supply and homes selling in about 25 days. 4 to 5 months of supply is the neutral band: neither side holds a structural advantage, and outcomes turn on the individual property.
Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from
What does the Fairbanks Ranch housing market data show?
Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Fairbanks Ranch, CA. Redfin, through May 2026
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median sale price | $3.65M |
| Median list price | $6.50M |
| Year-over-year price change | -11.0% |
| Median price per sq ft | $873/sq ft |
| Median days on market | 25 days |
| Active inventory | 23 listings |
| Months of supply | 4.6 months |
| Sale-to-list price ratio | 94.0% |
| Homes sold (that month) | 5 |
| New listings (that month) | 7 |
| Listings with a price cut | 30.4% |
| Market condition | Leaning buyer's |
How to read these numbers
- Median sale price
- Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Fairbanks Ranch is frozen at May 2026.
- Typical home value (ZHVI)
- Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Fairbanks Ranch is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
- Months of supply
- How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
- Days on market
- Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
- Sale-to-list ratio
- Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
- Price per square foot
- The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
- Listings with a price cut
- Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
- Typical asking rent (ZORI)
- Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.
How have Fairbanks Ranch home prices moved?
Over the last three years the median sale price in Fairbanks Ranch, CA fell 7.8%, from $3.96M to $3.65M. 30.4% of Fairbanks Ranch listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 4.6 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 94.0%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.
Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.
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What does it cost to buy a home in Fairbanks Ranch?
Priced off the median sale price of $3.65M at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.
| Down payment | Cash at close | Loan amount | Monthly P&I |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | $730,000 | $2.92M | $18,765/mo |
| 5% | $182,500 | $3.47M | $22,283/mo |
Redfin, through May 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate
What income do you need?
Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $18,765, that implies roughly $804,202 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Fairbanks Ranch earns $250,001, about $554,201 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the median sale price to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 14.6x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.
Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator
Buying in Fairbanks Ranch in the next 12 months?
Tell us your timeline. We send the Fairbanks Ranch market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.
Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Fairbanks Ranch?
Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Fairbanks Ranch, CA, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.
Is inventory rising or falling in Fairbanks Ranch?
Active listings in Fairbanks Ranch, CA went from 35 in May 2025 to 23 in May 2026, a -34.3% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.
| Month | Active listings | New listings |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 32 | 7 |
| July 2025 | 31 | 9 |
| August 2025 | 26 | 7 |
| September 2025 | 24 | 4 |
| October 2025 | 23 | 6 |
| November 2025 | 19 | 5 |
| December 2025 | 16 | 2 |
| January 2026 | 13 | 1 |
| February 2026 | 15 | 8 |
| March 2026 | 16 | 7 |
| April 2026 | 22 | 11 |
| May 2026 | 23 | 7 |
Redfin, through May 2026
How does Fairbanks Ranch compare to California and the U.S.?
Fairbanks Ranch homes sell for $3.65M — 311% above the California median of $887,400. Against the national median of $410,700, Fairbanks Ranch runs 789% higher. Year-over-year, Fairbanks Ranch moved -11.0% against California's +3.4% — a bigger swing than the state as a whole.
| Market | Median sale price | YoY | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairbanks Ranch, CA | $3.65M | -11.0% | 25 days |
| California statewide | $887,400 | +3.4% | 33 days |
| United States | $410,700 | not published | not published |
City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)
What to do next in Fairbanks Ranch
What buyers should watch
- Months of supply, currently 4.6. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
- The share of listings cutting price, currently 30.4%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
- The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $3,518 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
- Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $3.65M home more than a 5% price change does.
- Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.
What sellers should know
- The median Fairbanks Ranch listing goes under contract in 25 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
- Homes here close at 94.0% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
- In the last published month Fairbanks Ranch added 7 new listings against 5 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
- Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Fairbanks Ranch varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.
Homes for sale in Fairbanks Ranch
There are currently 23 homes listed for sale in Fairbanks Ranch, California. The median listing price is $6.5M.
Active listings
23
Homes on market
Median list price
$6.5M
Avg. days on market
25
Days until sale
New this week
7
Newly listed
How much do homes cost in Fairbanks Ranch by property type?
How the Fairbanks Ranch, CA market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026
| Property type | Median price | Price / sq ft | Homes sold | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single-family | $3.65M | $873/sq ft | 5 | 25 days |
Who lives in Fairbanks Ranch?
American Community Survey estimates for Fairbanks Ranch. U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Population
2,794
Households
878
Median income
$250,001/yr
Median age
43.2 years
Owner-occupied
92.1%
Median home value
$2.00M
Mean commute
31.7 min
92.1% of occupied homes in Fairbanks Ranch are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market.
Which cities are near Fairbanks Ranch, CA?
Ordered by distance from Fairbanks Ranch, not by size. Compare Fairbanks Ranch side by side with any of them.
Fairbanks Ranch housing market FAQ
Is Fairbanks Ranch a buyer's or seller's market?
Fairbanks Ranch, CA is currently a leaning buyer's. That read comes from 4.6 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 25 days, and sellers getting 94.0% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).
How much do homes cost in Fairbanks Ranch?
The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $3.65M, about $873 per square foot.
Is Fairbanks Ranch cheaper than the rest of California?
Fairbanks Ranch's median sale price of $3.65M is 311% higher than the California statewide median of $887,400, and 789% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.
How long do homes take to sell in Fairbanks Ranch?
Homes in Fairbanks Ranch, CA spent a median of 25 days on market before going under contract, versus 33 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)
What income do you need to buy a home in Fairbanks Ranch?
At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $3.65M home is about $18,765 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $804,202 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $250,001.
Are home prices rising in Fairbanks Ranch?
Redfin's last published year-over-year change for Fairbanks Ranch, CA was -11.0%, measured through May 2026. That series is frozen; treat it as a historical reading rather than a current trend.
What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Fairbanks Ranch?
Fairbanks Ranch ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.
Is now a good time to buy in Fairbanks Ranch?
That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Fairbanks Ranch, CA is a leaning buyer's with 4.6 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.
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