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Sarah Mitchell

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Compass Real Estate · Spring Valley Lake, CA

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Spring Valley Lake, CA(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Spring Valley Lake, CA Housing Market

Balanced market+2.7% YoY
Redfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The last median sale price Redfin published was $475,000, +2.7% year over year (through May 2026). With 4.3 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 36 days, Spring Valley Lake is a balanced market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $475,000 home is about $2,442/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Spring Valley Lake, CA

Median sale price

$475,000

+2.7% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

36

Average pace

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

64

4.3 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

6.66%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026

Median household income

$93,040

Home costs 5.1x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

100.3%

Selling above asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Spring Valley Lake a buyer's or seller's market?

Balanced market4.3 months of supply36 days on market100.3% of asking

Spring Valley Lake, CA is a balanced market, based on 4.3 months of supply and homes selling in about 36 days. 4 to 5 months of supply is the neutral band: neither side holds a structural advantage, and outcomes turn on the individual property.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Spring Valley Lake housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Spring Valley Lake, CA. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Spring Valley Lake, CA, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$475,000
Median list price$480,000
Year-over-year price change+2.7%
Median price per sq ft$248/sq ft
Median days on market36 days
Active inventory64 listings
Months of supply4.3 months
Sale-to-list price ratio100.3%
Homes sold (that month)15
New listings (that month)28
Listings with a price cut26.6%
Market conditionBalanced market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Spring Valley Lake is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Spring Valley Lake is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Spring Valley Lake home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Spring Valley Lake, CA rose 17.3%, from $405,000 to $475,000. 26.6% of Spring Valley Lake listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 4.3 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 100.3%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Spring Valley Lake?

Priced off the median sale price of $475,000 at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Spring Valley Lake, CA
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$95,000$380,000$2,442/mo
5%$23,750$451,250$2,900/mo

Redfin, through May 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $2,442, that implies roughly $104,656 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Spring Valley Lake earns $93,040, about $11,616 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the median sale price to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 5.1x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Spring Valley Lake in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Spring Valley Lake market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Spring Valley Lake?

Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Spring Valley Lake, CA, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.

Is inventory rising or falling in Spring Valley Lake?

Active listings in Spring Valley Lake, CA went from 60 in May 2025 to 64 in May 2026, a +6.7% change. Inventory has been roughly flat, which usually keeps prices moving with rates rather than with local supply.

Active listings by month in Spring Valley Lake, CA
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 20256118
July 20255114
August 20255421
September 20255921
October 20255613
November 20255012
December 20254411
January 20264216
February 20264316
March 20265118
April 20266032
May 20266428

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Spring Valley Lake compare to California and the U.S.?

Spring Valley Lake homes sell for $475,00046% below the California median of $887,400. Against the national median of $410,700, Spring Valley Lake runs 16% higher. Year-over-year, Spring Valley Lake moved +2.7% against California's +3.4%a smaller swing than the state as a whole.

Spring Valley Lake, CA compared with California and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Spring Valley Lake, CA$475,000+2.7%36 days
California statewide$887,400+3.4%33 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Spring Valley Lake

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 4.3. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 26.6%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $458 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $475,000 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Spring Valley Lake listing goes under contract in 36 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 100.3% of asking. Price at the number you want and let competition do the rest.
  • In the last published month Spring Valley Lake added 28 new listings against 15 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Spring Valley Lake varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Spring Valley Lake

There are currently 64 homes listed for sale in Spring Valley Lake, California. The median listing price is $480K.

Active listings

64

Homes on market

Median list price

$480K

Avg. days on market

36

Days until sale

New this week

28

Newly listed

Price drops:26.6%of listings
Sale-to-list:100.3%

How much do homes cost in Spring Valley Lake by property type?

How the Spring Valley Lake, CA market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Spring Valley Lake, CA
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$475,000$248/sq ft1536 days
Condo / co-op$365,000$271/sq ft114 days
Townhouse$355,000$291/sq ft139 days

Who lives in Spring Valley Lake?

American Community Survey estimates for Spring Valley Lake. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

10,098

Households

3,248

Median income

$93,040/yr

Median age

35.2 years

Owner-occupied

74.7%

Median home value

$439,500

Median gross rent

$2,264/mo

Mean commute

34.5 min

74.7% of occupied homes in Spring Valley Lake are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market.

Which cities are near Spring Valley Lake, CA?

Ordered by distance from Spring Valley Lake, not by size. Compare Spring Valley Lake side by side with any of them.

Spring Valley Lake housing market FAQ

Is Spring Valley Lake a buyer's or seller's market?

Spring Valley Lake, CA is currently a balanced market. That read comes from 4.3 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 36 days, and sellers getting 100.3% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Spring Valley Lake?

The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $475,000, about $248 per square foot.

Is Spring Valley Lake cheaper than the rest of California?

Spring Valley Lake's median sale price of $475,000 is 46% lower than the California statewide median of $887,400, and 16% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Spring Valley Lake?

Homes in Spring Valley Lake, CA spent a median of 36 days on market before going under contract, versus 33 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Spring Valley Lake?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $475,000 home is about $2,442 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $104,656 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $93,040.

Are home prices rising in Spring Valley Lake?

Redfin's last published year-over-year change for Spring Valley Lake, CA was +2.7%, measured through May 2026. That series is frozen; treat it as a historical reading rather than a current trend.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Spring Valley Lake?

Spring Valley Lake ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Spring Valley Lake?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Spring Valley Lake, CA is a balanced market with 4.3 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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One email: what homes are actually clearing at around $475,000, how long they sit, which ZIPs run cheaper, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.