$385,000
32302 Alipaz St Spc 99
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
2 bd2 ba1,400 sqft$275/ft²
Mobile home18.90 acres
Shannan Lareau · RE/MAX Select One
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San Juan Capistrano, CA Housing Market
Seller's market+2.7% YoY
Zillow, July 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 · Refreshes weekly
The typical home in San Juan Capistrano, CA is worth $1.35M, rose 2.7% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, July 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $1.79M, +36.0% year over year (through May 2026). With 2.7 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 42 days, San Juan Capistrano is a seller's market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $1.35M home is about $6,940/mo in principal and interest.
Key numbers for San Juan Capistrano, CA
Typical home value
$1.35M
+2.7% in 12 months
Zillow, July 2026
Typical asking rent
$3,827/mo
Zillow Observed Rent Index
Zillow, July 2026
Median sale price
$1.79M
+36.0% year over year
Redfin, through May 2026
Days on market
42
Average pace
Redfin, through May 2026
Active listings
87
2.7 months of supply
Redfin, through May 2026
30-yr fixed rate
6.66%
Freddie Mac weekly average
Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026
Median household income
$127,893
Home costs 10.6x income
U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Sale-to-list ratio
99.4%
Selling below asking
Redfin, through May 2026
Zillow figures are as of July 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.
Is San Juan Capistrano a buyer's or seller's market?
Seller's market2.7 months of supply42 days on market99.4% of asking
San Juan Capistrano, CA is a seller's market, based on 2.7 months of supply and homes selling in about 42 days. Under 4 months of supply tilts the market toward sellers: homes clear faster than they are replaced, so concessions are scarce.
Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from
What does the San Juan Capistrano housing market data show?
Every row below is Redfin's final published month for San Juan Capistrano, CA. Redfin, through May 2026
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median sale price | $1.79M |
| Median list price | $1.64M |
| Year-over-year price change | +36.0% |
| Median price per sq ft | $760/sq ft |
| Median days on market | 42 days |
| Active inventory | 87 listings |
| Months of supply | 2.7 months |
| Sale-to-list price ratio | 99.4% |
| Homes sold (that month) | 32 |
| New listings (that month) | 58 |
| Listings with a price cut | 24.1% |
| Market condition | Seller's market |
How to read these numbers
- Median sale price
- Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for San Juan Capistrano is frozen at May 2026.
- Typical home value (ZHVI)
- Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in San Juan Capistrano is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
- Months of supply
- How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
- Days on market
- Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
- Sale-to-list ratio
- Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
- Price per square foot
- The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
- Listings with a price cut
- Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
- Typical asking rent (ZORI)
- Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.
How have San Juan Capistrano home prices moved?
Over the last three years the median sale price in San Juan Capistrano, CA rose 49.6%, from $1.20M to $1.79M. The live Zillow value series has rose 2.7% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. 24.1% of San Juan Capistrano listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a modest share, which is what a market looks like when sellers are pricing close to where homes actually clear. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 2.7 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 99.4%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.
Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.
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What does it cost to buy a home in San Juan Capistrano?
Priced off the typical home value of $1.35M at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.
| Down payment | Cash at close | Loan amount | Monthly P&I |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | $270,002 | $1.08M | $6,940/mo |
| 5% | $67,500 | $1.28M | $8,242/mo |
Zillow, July 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate
What income do you need?
Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $6,940, that implies roughly $297,447 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in San Juan Capistrano earns $127,893, about $169,554 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the typical home value to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 10.6x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.
Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator
Buying in San Juan Capistrano in the next 12 months?
Tell us your timeline. We send the San Juan Capistrano market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.
Is it cheaper to rent or buy in San Juan Capistrano?
Typical asking rent in San Juan Capistrano, CA is $3,827/mo, against a typical home value of $1.35M. That is a price-to-rent ratio of 29.4x, which means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Compared head to head, 20% down puts principal and interest at $6,940 a month — $3,113 more than renting before taxes and insurance, so the ownership case here rests on equity and appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.
Zillow, July 2026 for both value and rent
Add your own down payment, tax rate and time horizon in the rent vs. buy calculator.
Is inventory rising or falling in San Juan Capistrano?
Active listings in San Juan Capistrano, CA went from 106 in May 2025 to 87 in May 2026, a -17.9% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.
| Month | Active listings | New listings |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 90 | 26 |
| July 2025 | 93 | 39 |
| August 2025 | 89 | 33 |
| September 2025 | 85 | 27 |
| October 2025 | 75 | 28 |
| November 2025 | 68 | 21 |
| December 2025 | 43 | 15 |
| January 2026 | 53 | 30 |
| February 2026 | 55 | 35 |
| March 2026 | 71 | 42 |
| April 2026 | 79 | 33 |
| May 2026 | 87 | 58 |
Redfin, through May 2026
How does San Juan Capistrano compare to California and the U.S.?
San Juan Capistrano homes sell for $1.79M — 102% above the California median of $887,400. Against the national median of $410,700, San Juan Capistrano runs 337% higher. Year-over-year, San Juan Capistrano moved +36.0% against California's +3.4% — a bigger swing than the state as a whole.
| Market | Median sale price | YoY | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Juan Capistrano, CA | $1.79M | +36.0% | 42 days |
| California statewide | $887,400 | +3.4% | 33 days |
| United States | $410,700 | not published | not published |
City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)
What to do next in San Juan Capistrano
What buyers should watch
- Months of supply, currently 2.7. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
- The share of listings cutting price, currently 24.1%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
- The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $1,301 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
- Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $1.35M home more than a 5% price change does.
- Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.
What sellers should know
- The median San Juan Capistrano listing goes under contract in 42 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
- Homes here close at 99.4% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
- In the last published month San Juan Capistrano added 58 new listings against 32 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
- Your equity moved +2.7% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
- Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside San Juan Capistrano varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.
Homes for sale in San Juan Capistrano
There are currently 87 homes listed for sale in San Juan Capistrano, California. The median listing price is $1.6M. Featured listings range from $385,000 to $15,000,000.
New Listing
16
$550,000
32294 Paseo Carolina
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
2 bd1 ba834 sqft$659/ft²
Condo4.23 acres
Mikaela Webber · Regency Real Estate Brokers
View photos & details
New Listing
4
$725,000
27703 Ortega Hwy Spc 136
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
3 bd2 ba1,530 sqft$474/ft²
Mobile home34.60 acres
Josie Huffman · Orange County Home Sales
View photos & details
New Listing
14
$1,175,000
33086 Regatta Ct
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
3 bd3 ba1,433 sqft$820/ft²
House1,124 sqft lot
Dan Raphael · Coldwell Banker Realty
View photos & details
New Listing
50
$1,650,000
27842 Camino Del Rio
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
3 bd2 ba1,680 sqft$982/ft²
House3,999 sqft lot
Mike Lovullo · Lantern Bay Realty
View photos & details
New Listing
47
$2,199,900
29251 Via Zamora
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
5 bd5 ba3,595 sqft$612/ft²
House10,280 sqft lot
Tim Wolter · Ladera Realty
View photos & details
New Listing
2
$3,199,000
26308 Paseo Sillin
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
5 bd5 ba3,502 sqft$913/ft²
House5,998 sqft lot
Mary Reyes-Gallegos · HomeSmart, Evergreen Realty
View photos & details
New Listing
60
$3,288,000
29321 Via Zamora
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
5 bd5 ba3,852 sqft$854/ft²
House17,968 sqft lot
Lorilyn McDonald · Country Hills Properties
View photos & details
New Listing
24
$3,799,000
27951 Suffolk Ln
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
5 bd5 ba5,468 sqft$695/ft²
House39,174 sqft lot
Lee Ann Canaday · RE/MAX Fine Homes
View photos & details
New Listing
26
$4,628,000
33801 Killarney Ln
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
3 bd4 ba3,431 sqft$1349/ft²
House11,108 sqft lot
Pk Brief · Coldwell Banker Realty
View photos & details
New Listing
47
$4,678,000
30542 Marbella Vis
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
3 bd4 ba4,240 sqft$1103/ft²
House10,498 sqft lot
Amy Coler · CSIRA Properties Inc.
View photos & details
New Listing
65
$15,000,000
31922 Paseo Monte Vis
San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
6 bd11 ba10,503 sqft$1428/ft²
House2.26 acres
Sari Ward · First Team Real Estate
View photos & details
Looking to buy in San Juan Capistrano?
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Active listings
87
Homes on market
Median list price
$1.6M
Avg. days on market
42
Days until sale
New this week
58
Newly listed
Price drops:24.1%of listings
Sale-to-list:99.4%
How much do homes cost in San Juan Capistrano by property type?
How the San Juan Capistrano, CA market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026
| Property type | Median price | Price / sq ft | Homes sold | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single-family | $2.09M | $761/sq ft | 25 | 42 days |
| Condo / co-op | $932,000 | $596/sq ft | 5 | 41 days |
| Townhouse | $1.03M | $765/sq ft | 1 | 91 days |
Who lives in San Juan Capistrano?
American Community Survey estimates for San Juan Capistrano. U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Population
34,998
Households
12,095
Median income
$127,893/yr
Median age
44.8 years
Owner-occupied
78.5%
Median home value
$929,700
Median gross rent
$2,500/mo
Mean commute
27 min
78.5% of occupied homes in San Juan Capistrano are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $929,700 against Zillow's $1.35M typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions. Census median gross rent (all leases, including long-held ones) is $2,500/mo, below Zillow's $3,827/mo asking rent on new leases — the difference is roughly what a mover pays over a stayer.
Which public schools serve San Juan Capistrano?
14 schools tracked · 11,328 students
The largest public schools serving San Juan Capistrano, CA by enrollment, drawn from the National Center for Education Statistics. School quality is a commonly cited factor in home-buying decisions — these are the campuses families in this area are most likely to encounter.
California Connections Academy Southern California
Grades K-12 · 5,189 students
San Juan Hills High
Grades 9-12 · 2,768 students
Marco Forster Middle
Grades 6-8 · 1,040 students
San Juan Elementary
Grades K-5 · 673 students
Kinoshita Elementary
Grades K-5 · 322 students
Del Obispo Elementary
Grades K-5 · 315 students
Harold Ambuehl Elementary
Grades K-5 · 312 students
California Preparatory Academy
Grades 9-12 · 225 students
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data directory. Updated annually. Ratings and test scores are not currently displayed.
Which cities are near San Juan Capistrano, CA?
Ordered by distance from San Juan Capistrano, not by size. Compare San Juan Capistrano side by side with any of them.
Which ZIP codes are in San Juan Capistrano?
These are the ZIP codes we see on active San Juan Capistrano listings. Redfin did not publish a matching ZIP-level sale row for the same period, so we are not ranking them by price here — each ZIP page shows exactly what we hold for it.
San Juan Capistrano housing market FAQ
Is San Juan Capistrano a buyer's or seller's market?
San Juan Capistrano, CA is currently a seller's market. That read comes from 2.7 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 42 days, and sellers getting 99.4% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).
How much do homes cost in San Juan Capistrano?
The typical home in San Juan Capistrano, CA is worth $1.35M (Zillow Home Value Index, July 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $1.79M, about $760 per square foot.
Is San Juan Capistrano cheaper than the rest of California?
San Juan Capistrano's median sale price of $1.79M is 102% higher than the California statewide median of $887,400, and 337% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.
How long do homes take to sell in San Juan Capistrano?
Homes in San Juan Capistrano, CA spent a median of 42 days on market before going under contract, versus 33 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)
What income do you need to buy a home in San Juan Capistrano?
At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $1.35M home is about $6,940 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $297,447 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $127,893.
Are home prices rising in San Juan Capistrano?
The typical home value in San Juan Capistrano, CA rose 2.7% over the last 12 months, from $1.31M to $1.35M (Zillow, July 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.
What are the cheapest ZIP codes in San Juan Capistrano?
San Juan Capistrano ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.
Is now a good time to buy in San Juan Capistrano?
That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: San Juan Capistrano, CA is a seller's market with 2.7 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%, and the price-to-rent ratio of 29.4x means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.
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