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Sarah Mitchell

CNESRESABR

Compass Real Estate · Lake Forest, CA

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Lake Forest, CA(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Lake Forest, CA Housing Market

Seller's market-0.9% YoY
Zillow, July 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The typical home in Lake Forest, CA is worth $1.19M, fell 0.9% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, July 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $1.37M, +14.3% year over year (through May 2026). With 2.9 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 33 days, Lake Forest is a seller's market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $1.19M home is about $6,104/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Lake Forest, CA

Typical home value

$1.19M

-0.9% in 12 months

Zillow, July 2026

Typical asking rent

$3,337/mo

Zillow Observed Rent Index

Zillow, July 2026

Median sale price

$1.37M

+14.3% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

33

Average pace

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

212

2.9 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

6.66%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026

Median household income

$131,378

Home costs 9.0x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

99.9%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures are as of July 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Lake Forest a buyer's or seller's market?

Seller's market2.9 months of supply33 days on market99.9% of asking

Lake Forest, CA is a seller's market, based on 2.9 months of supply and homes selling in about 33 days. Under 4 months of supply tilts the market toward sellers: homes clear faster than they are replaced, so concessions are scarce.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Lake Forest housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Lake Forest, CA. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Lake Forest, CA, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$1.37M
Median list price$1.30M
Year-over-year price change+14.3%
Median price per sq ft$627/sq ft
Median days on market33 days
Active inventory212 listings
Months of supply2.9 months
Sale-to-list price ratio99.9%
Homes sold (that month)73
New listings (that month)107
Listings with a price cut27.4%
Market conditionSeller's market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Lake Forest is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Lake Forest is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Lake Forest home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Lake Forest, CA rose 39.0%, from $985,335 to $1.37M. The live Zillow value series has fell 0.9% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. 27.4% of Lake Forest listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 2.9 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 99.9%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Lake Forest?

Priced off the typical home value of $1.19M at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Lake Forest, CA
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$237,445$949,780$6,104/mo
5%$59,361$1.13M$7,248/mo

Zillow, July 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $6,104, that implies roughly $261,580 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Lake Forest earns $131,378, about $130,202 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the typical home value to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 9.0x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Lake Forest in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Lake Forest market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Lake Forest?

Typical asking rent in Lake Forest, CA is $3,337/mo, against a typical home value of $1.19M. That is a price-to-rent ratio of 29.6x, which means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Compared head to head, 20% down puts principal and interest at $6,104 a month — $2,767 more than renting before taxes and insurance, so the ownership case here rests on equity and appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

Zillow, July 2026 for both value and rent

Add your own down payment, tax rate and time horizon in the rent vs. buy calculator.

Is inventory rising or falling in Lake Forest?

Active listings in Lake Forest, CA went from 261 in May 2025 to 212 in May 2026, a -18.8% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.

Active listings by month in Lake Forest, CA
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 202525383
July 202524883
August 202524682
September 202524376
October 202522175
November 202519151
December 202512928
January 202613869
February 202617894
March 2026198114
April 2026206116
May 2026212107

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Lake Forest compare to California and the U.S.?

Lake Forest homes sell for $1.37M54% above the California median of $887,400. Against the national median of $410,700, Lake Forest runs 234% higher. Year-over-year, Lake Forest moved +14.3% against California's +3.4%a bigger swing than the state as a whole.

Lake Forest, CA compared with California and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Lake Forest, CA$1.37M+14.3%33 days
California statewide$887,400+3.4%33 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Lake Forest

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 2.9. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 27.4%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $1,144 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $1.19M home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Lake Forest listing goes under contract in 33 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 99.9% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Lake Forest added 107 new listings against 73 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Your equity moved -0.9% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Lake Forest varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Lake Forest

There are currently 212 homes listed for sale in Lake Forest, California. The median listing price is $1.3M.

Active listings

212

Homes on market

Median list price

$1.3M

Avg. days on market

33

Days until sale

New this week

107

Newly listed

Price drops:27.4%of listings
Sale-to-list:99.9%

How much do homes cost in Lake Forest by property type?

How the Lake Forest, CA market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Lake Forest, CA
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$1.44M$640/sq ft5436 days
Condo / co-op$637,500$593/sq ft1826 days
Townhouse$746,500$594/sq ft131 days

Who lives in Lake Forest?

American Community Survey estimates for Lake Forest. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

85,846

Households

30,246

Median income

$131,378/yr

Median age

40.4 years

Owner-occupied

70.7%

Median home value

$876,300

Median gross rent

$2,616/mo

Mean commute

25.1 min

70.7% of occupied homes in Lake Forest are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $876,300 against Zillow's $1.19M typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions. Census median gross rent (all leases, including long-held ones) is $2,616/mo, below Zillow's $3,337/mo asking rent on new leases — the difference is roughly what a mover pays over a stayer.

Which public schools serve Lake Forest?

9 schools tracked · 7,105 students

The largest public schools serving Lake Forest, CA by enrollment, drawn from the National Center for Education Statistics. School quality is a commonly cited factor in home-buying decisions — these are the campuses families in this area are most likely to encounter.

El Toro High

Grades 9-12 · 1,972 students

Public

Ralph A. Gates DLI Magnet Elementary

Grades K-6 · 908 students

Public

Serrano Intermediate

Grades 7-8 · 887 students

Public

Lake Forest Elementary

Grades K-6 · 688 students

Public

Rancho Canada Elementary

Grades K-6 · 630 students

Public

La Madera Elementary

Grades K-6 · 602 students

Public

Oxford Preparatory Academy - Saddleback Valley

Grades K-5 · 509 students

Charter

Santiago STEAM Magnet Elementary

Grades K-6 · 497 students

Public

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data directory. Updated annually. Ratings and test scores are not currently displayed.

Which cities are near Lake Forest, CA?

Ordered by distance from Lake Forest, not by size. Compare Lake Forest side by side with any of them.

Lake Forest housing market FAQ

Is Lake Forest a buyer's or seller's market?

Lake Forest, CA is currently a seller's market. That read comes from 2.9 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 33 days, and sellers getting 99.9% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Lake Forest?

The typical home in Lake Forest, CA is worth $1.19M (Zillow Home Value Index, July 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $1.37M, about $627 per square foot.

Is Lake Forest cheaper than the rest of California?

Lake Forest's median sale price of $1.37M is 54% higher than the California statewide median of $887,400, and 234% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Lake Forest?

Homes in Lake Forest, CA spent a median of 33 days on market before going under contract, versus 33 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Lake Forest?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $1.19M home is about $6,104 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $261,580 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $131,378.

Are home prices rising in Lake Forest?

The typical home value in Lake Forest, CA fell 0.9% over the last 12 months, from $1.20M to $1.19M (Zillow, July 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Lake Forest?

Lake Forest ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Lake Forest?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Lake Forest, CA is a seller's market with 2.9 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%, and the price-to-rent ratio of 29.6x means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.