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Sarah Mitchell

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Compass Real Estate · Mission Viejo, CA

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Mission Viejo, CA(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Mission Viejo, CA Housing Market

Seller's market+0.2% YoY
Zillow, August 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The typical home in Mission Viejo, CA is worth $1.21M, held roughly flat 0.2% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $1.18M, -1.6% year over year (through May 2026). With 2.3 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 33 days, Mission Viejo is a seller's market. At today's 7.03% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $1.21M home is about $6,441/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Mission Viejo, CA

Typical home value

$1.21M

+0.2% in 12 months

Zillow, August 2026

Typical asking rent

$3,144/mo

Zillow Observed Rent Index

Zillow, August 2026

Median sale price

$1.18M

-1.6% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

33

Average pace

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

194

2.3 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

7.03%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026

Median household income

$136,071

Home costs 8.9x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

100.2%

Selling above asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures are as of August 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Mission Viejo a buyer's or seller's market?

Seller's market2.3 months of supply33 days on market100.2% of asking

Mission Viejo, CA is a seller's market, based on 2.3 months of supply and homes selling in about 33 days. Under 4 months of supply tilts the market toward sellers: homes clear faster than they are replaced, so concessions are scarce.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Mission Viejo housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Mission Viejo, CA. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Mission Viejo, CA, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$1.18M
Median list price$1.30M
Year-over-year price change-1.6%
Median price per sq ft$656/sq ft
Median days on market33 days
Active inventory194 listings
Months of supply2.3 months
Sale-to-list price ratio100.2%
Homes sold (that month)85
New listings (that month)104
Listings with a price cut33.0%
Market conditionSeller's market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Mission Viejo is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Mission Viejo is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Mission Viejo home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Mission Viejo, CA rose 15.1%, from $1.02M to $1.18M. The live Zillow value series has held roughly flat 0.2% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. 33.0% of Mission Viejo listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 2.3 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 100.2%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Mission Viejo?

Priced off the typical home value of $1.21M at the current 7.03% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Mission Viejo, CA
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$241,309$965,234$6,441/mo
5%$60,327$1.15M$7,649/mo

Zillow, August 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $6,441, that implies roughly $276,051 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Mission Viejo earns $136,071, about $139,980 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the typical home value to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 8.9x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Mission Viejo in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Mission Viejo market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Mission Viejo?

Typical asking rent in Mission Viejo, CA is $3,144/mo, against a typical home value of $1.21M. That is a price-to-rent ratio of 32.0x, which means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Compared head to head, 20% down puts principal and interest at $6,441 a month — $3,297 more than renting before taxes and insurance, so the ownership case here rests on equity and appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

Zillow, August 2026 for both value and rent

Add your own down payment, tax rate and time horizon in the rent vs. buy calculator.

Is inventory rising or falling in Mission Viejo?

Active listings in Mission Viejo, CA went from 247 in May 2025 to 194 in May 2026, a -21.5% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.

Active listings by month in Mission Viejo, CA
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 202522579
July 202520993
August 202520485
September 202520677
October 202520587
November 202516955
December 202513439
January 202616091
February 202615390
March 2026168127
April 2026191126
May 2026194104

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Mission Viejo compare to California and the U.S.?

Mission Viejo homes sell for $1.18M — 33% above the California median of $887,400. Against the national median of $410,700, Mission Viejo runs 187% higher. Year-over-year, Mission Viejo moved -1.6% against California's +3.4% — a smaller swing than the state as a whole.

Mission Viejo, CA compared with California and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Mission Viejo, CA$1.18M-1.6%33 days
California statewide$887,400+3.4%33 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Mission Viejo

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 2.3. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 33.0%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $1,208 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 7.03%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $1.21M home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Mission Viejo listing goes under contract in 33 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 100.2% of asking. Price at the number you want and let competition do the rest.
  • In the last published month Mission Viejo added 104 new listings against 85 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Your equity moved +0.2% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Mission Viejo varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Mission Viejo

There are currently 194 homes listed for sale in Mission Viejo, California. The median listing price is $1.3M.

Active listings

194

Homes on market

Median list price

$1.3M

Avg. days on market

33

Days until sale

New this week

104

Newly listed

Price drops:33.0%of listings
Sale-to-list:100.2%

How much do homes cost in Mission Viejo by property type?

How the Mission Viejo, CA market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Mission Viejo, CA
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$1.38M$702/sq ft6028 days
Condo / co-op$783,750$619/sq ft2454 days
Townhouse$850,000$639/sq ft1270 days

Who lives in Mission Viejo?

American Community Survey estimates for Mission Viejo. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

92,415

Households

32,917

Median income

$136,071/yr

Median age

46.1 years

Owner-occupied

77.5%

Median home value

$946,300

Median gross rent

$2,713/mo

Mean commute

27.3 min

77.5% of occupied homes in Mission Viejo are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $946,300 against Zillow's $1.21M typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions. Census median gross rent (all leases, including long-held ones) is $2,713/mo, below Zillow's $3,144/mo asking rent on new leases — the difference is roughly what a mover pays over a stayer.

Which public schools serve Mission Viejo?

23 schools tracked · 14,461 students

The largest public schools serving Mission Viejo, CA by enrollment, drawn from the National Center for Education Statistics. School quality is a commonly cited factor in home-buying decisions — these are the campuses families in this area are most likely to encounter.

Trabuco Hills High

Grades 9-12 · 2,507 students

Public

Capistrano Valley High

Grades 9-12 · 1,981 students

Public

Mission Viejo High

Grades 9-12 · 1,628 students

Public

Fred Newhart Middle

Grades 6-8 · 1,083 students

Public

La Paz Intermediate

Grades 7-8 · 707 students

Public

Oxford Preparatory Academy - South Orange County

Grades K-5 · 660 students

Charter

Los Alisos Intermediate

Grades 7-8 · 611 students

Public

Bathgate Elementary

Grades K-5 · 579 students

Public

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data directory. Updated annually. Ratings and test scores are not currently displayed.

Which cities are near Mission Viejo, CA?

Ordered by distance from Mission Viejo, not by size. Compare Mission Viejo side by side with any of them.

Mission Viejo housing market FAQ

Is Mission Viejo a buyer's or seller's market?

Mission Viejo, CA is currently a seller's market. That read comes from 2.3 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 33 days, and sellers getting 100.2% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Mission Viejo?

The typical home in Mission Viejo, CA is worth $1.21M (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $1.18M, about $656 per square foot.

Is Mission Viejo cheaper than the rest of California?

Mission Viejo's median sale price of $1.18M is 33% higher than the California statewide median of $887,400, and 187% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Mission Viejo?

Homes in Mission Viejo, CA spent a median of 33 days on market before going under contract, versus 33 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Mission Viejo?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 7.03%, 20% down on a $1.21M home is about $6,441 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $276,051 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $136,071.

Are home prices rising in Mission Viejo?

The typical home value in Mission Viejo, CA held roughly flat 0.2% over the last 12 months, from $1.20M to $1.21M (Zillow, August 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Mission Viejo?

Mission Viejo ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Mission Viejo?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Mission Viejo, CA is a seller's market with 2.3 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 7.03%, and the price-to-rent ratio of 32.0x means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.