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Sarah Mitchell

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Compass Real Estate · Tracy, CA

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Tracy, CA(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Tracy, CA Housing Market

Seller's market-5.4% YoY
Zillow, July 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The typical home in Tracy, CA is worth $679,447, fell 5.4% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, July 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $682,500, -2.0% year over year (through May 2026). With 3.1 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 23 days, Tracy is a seller's market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $679,447 home is about $3,493/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Tracy, CA

Typical home value

$679,447

-5.4% in 12 months

Zillow, July 2026

Typical asking rent

$2,748/mo

Zillow Observed Rent Index

Zillow, July 2026

Median sale price

$682,500

-2.0% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

23

Average pace

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

178

3.1 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

6.66%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026

Median household income

$118,253

Home costs 5.7x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

100.3%

Selling above asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures are as of July 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Tracy a buyer's or seller's market?

Seller's market3.1 months of supply23 days on market100.3% of asking

Tracy, CA is a seller's market, based on 3.1 months of supply and homes selling in about 23 days. Under 4 months of supply tilts the market toward sellers: homes clear faster than they are replaced, so concessions are scarce.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Tracy housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Tracy, CA. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Tracy, CA, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$682,500
Median list price$693,925
Year-over-year price change-2.0%
Median price per sq ft$343/sq ft
Median days on market23 days
Active inventory178 listings
Months of supply3.1 months
Sale-to-list price ratio100.3%
Homes sold (that month)58
New listings (that month)90
Listings with a price cut33.1%
Market conditionSeller's market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Tracy is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Tracy is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Tracy home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Tracy, CA fell 0.9%, from $689,000 to $682,500. The live Zillow value series has fell 5.4% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. 33.1% of Tracy listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 3.1 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 100.3%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Tracy?

Priced off the typical home value of $679,447 at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Tracy, CA
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$135,889$543,558$3,493/mo
5%$33,972$645,475$4,148/mo

Zillow, July 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $3,493, that implies roughly $149,702 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Tracy earns $118,253, about $31,449 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the typical home value to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 5.7x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Tracy in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Tracy market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Tracy?

Typical asking rent in Tracy, CA is $2,748/mo, against a typical home value of $679,447. That is a price-to-rent ratio of 20.6x, which means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Compared head to head, 20% down puts principal and interest at $3,493 a month — $745 more than renting before taxes and insurance, so the ownership case here rests on equity and appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

Zillow, July 2026 for both value and rent

Add your own down payment, tax rate and time horizon in the rent vs. buy calculator.

Is inventory rising or falling in Tracy?

Active listings in Tracy, CA went from 195 in May 2025 to 178 in May 2026, a -8.7% change. Inventory has been roughly flat, which usually keeps prices moving with rates rather than with local supply.

Active listings by month in Tracy, CA
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 202520086
July 202521585
August 202520079
September 202518673
October 202514860
November 202512353
December 202510540
January 202614175
February 202612547
March 202612984
April 2026160107
May 202617890

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Tracy compare to California and the U.S.?

Tracy homes sell for $682,50023% below the California median of $887,400. Against the national median of $410,700, Tracy runs 66% higher. Year-over-year, Tracy moved -2.0% against California's +3.4%a smaller swing than the state as a whole.

Tracy, CA compared with California and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Tracy, CA$682,500-2.0%23 days
California statewide$887,400+3.4%33 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Tracy

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 3.1. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 33.1%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $655 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $679,447 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Tracy listing goes under contract in 23 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 100.3% of asking. Price at the number you want and let competition do the rest.
  • In the last published month Tracy added 90 new listings against 58 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Your equity moved -5.4% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Tracy varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Tracy

There are currently 178 homes listed for sale in Tracy, California. The median listing price is $694K. Featured listings range from $589,999 to $1,150,000.

3 bedroom house for sale at 2488 Gaines Ln Tracy 95377 - $589,999
New Listing
7
$589,999

2488 Gaines Ln

Tracy, CA 95377

3 bd3 ba2,051 sqft$288/ft²
House5,998 sqft lot

Oscar Uribe · PAK Home Realty

View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 1940 McPeak Ct Tracy 95376 - $595,000
New Listing
37
$595,000

1940 McPeak Ct

Tracy, CA 95376

4 bd3 ba1,567 sqft$380/ft²
House7,077 sqft lot

Lisa C. Perry · Coldwell Banker Realty

View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 1841 S Willow Creek Dr Tracy 95376 - $630,000
New Listing
44
$630,000

1841 S Willow Creek Dr

Tracy, CA 95376

4 bd2 ba1,787 sqft$353/ft²
House6,199 sqft lot

Jack Klemm · Klemm Real Estate

View photos & details
3 bedroom house for sale at 1007 Lourence Dr Tracy 95376 - $649,995
New Listing
49
$649,995

1007 Lourence Dr

Tracy, CA 95376

3 bd2 ba1,650 sqft$394/ft²
House6,913 sqft lot

Shawn Roycroft · Realty ONE Group Zoom

View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 2840 Dapper St Tracy 95377 - $702,598
New BuildPrice Drop −$90K
18
$702,598

2840 Dapper St

Tracy, CA 95377

4 bd3 ba2,363 sqft$297/ft²
House
View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 2646 Ozark Dr Tracy 95304 - $749,900
New Listing
40
$749,900

2646 Ozark Dr

Tracy, CA 95304

4 bd3 ba2,190 sqft$342/ft²
House5,001 sqft lot

Nancy Longoria-Vargas · Lighthouse Real Estate, Inc.

View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 605 Natalie Ln Tracy 95376 - $778,000
New Listing
51
$778,000

605 Natalie Ln

Tracy, CA 95376

4 bd3 ba1,996 sqft$390/ft²
House15,259 sqft lot

Brandon Torres · Homelink Real Estate

View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 1300 Eastlake Cir Tracy 95304 - $804,000
New Listing
54
$804,000

1300 Eastlake Cir

Tracy, CA 95304

4 bd3 ba2,808 sqft$286/ft²
House6,098 sqft lot

Grace Alvarez · Century 21 Select Real Estate

View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 4484 Lindsey Ln Tracy 95377 - $825,000
New Listing
42
$825,000

4484 Lindsey Ln

Tracy, CA 95377

4 bd3 ba2,447 sqft$337/ft²
House6,375 sqft lot

Gustavo Ruezga · Pepa Realty

View photos & details
6 bedroom house for sale at 539 W Lowell Ave Tracy 95376 - $949,999
New Listing
15
$949,999

539 W Lowell Ave

Tracy, CA 95376

6 bd4 ba2,456 sqft$387/ft²
House9,200 sqft lot

Naidy Nova Ceja · EXIT Realty Consultants

View photos & details
5 bedroom house for sale at 1030 Eastlake Cir Tracy 95304 - $950,000
New Listing
37
$950,000

1030 Eastlake Cir

Tracy, CA 95304

5 bd3 ba3,779 sqft$251/ft²
House6,975 sqft lot

Sydney Meng · Bay One Realty

View photos & details
3 bedroom house for sale at 18393 Paradise Rd Tracy 95304 - $1,150,000
New Listing
36
$1,150,000

18393 Paradise Rd

Tracy, CA 95304

3 bd2 ba1,745 sqft$659/ft²
House1.11 acres

Asad Jafri · Simple Realty

View photos & details

Looking to buy in Tracy?

Get connected with a local real estate expert — free, no obligation.

Active listings

178

Homes on market

Median list price

$694K

Avg. days on market

23

Days until sale

New this week

90

Newly listed

Price drops:33.1%of listings
Sale-to-list:100.3%

How much do homes cost in Tracy by property type?

How the Tracy, CA market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Tracy, CA
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$690,659$343/sq ft5621 days
Condo / co-op$335,000$300/sq ft130 days
Townhouse$380,000$469/sq ft114 days

Who lives in Tracy?

American Community Survey estimates for Tracy. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

95,358

Households

27,943

Median income

$118,253/yr

Median age

35.2 years

Owner-occupied

64.0%

Median home value

$653,900

Median gross rent

$2,325/mo

Mean commute

42.8 min

64.0% of occupied homes in Tracy are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $653,900 against Zillow's $679,447 typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions. Census median gross rent (all leases, including long-held ones) is $2,325/mo, below Zillow's $2,748/mo asking rent on new leases — the difference is roughly what a mover pays over a stayer.

Which public schools serve Tracy?

36 schools tracked · 20,686 students

The largest public schools serving Tracy, CA by enrollment, drawn from the National Center for Education Statistics. School quality is a commonly cited factor in home-buying decisions — these are the campuses families in this area are most likely to encounter.

Merrill F. West High

Grades 9-12 · 2,066 students

Public

Tracy High

Grades 9-12 · 1,722 students

Public

John C. Kimball High

Grades 9-12 · 1,654 students

Public

George Kelly Elementary

Grades K-8 · 926 students

Public

Tom Hawkins Elementary

Grades K-8 · 918 students

Public

Delta Charter

Grades K-12 · 811 students

Charter

South/West Park Elementary

Grades K-5 · 809 students

Public

Anthony C. Traina Elementary

Grades K-8 · 805 students

Public

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data directory. Updated annually. Ratings and test scores are not currently displayed.

Which cities are near Tracy, CA?

Ordered by distance from Tracy, not by size. Compare Tracy side by side with any of them.

Which ZIP codes are in Tracy?

These are the ZIP codes we see on active Tracy listings. Redfin did not publish a matching ZIP-level sale row for the same period, so we are not ranking them by price here — each ZIP page shows exactly what we hold for it.

Tracy housing market FAQ

Is Tracy a buyer's or seller's market?

Tracy, CA is currently a seller's market. That read comes from 3.1 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 23 days, and sellers getting 100.3% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Tracy?

The typical home in Tracy, CA is worth $679,447 (Zillow Home Value Index, July 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $682,500, about $343 per square foot.

Is Tracy cheaper than the rest of California?

Tracy's median sale price of $682,500 is 23% lower than the California statewide median of $887,400, and 66% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Tracy?

Homes in Tracy, CA spent a median of 23 days on market before going under contract, versus 33 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Tracy?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $679,447 home is about $3,493 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $149,702 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $118,253.

Are home prices rising in Tracy?

The typical home value in Tracy, CA fell 5.4% over the last 12 months, from $718,487 to $679,447 (Zillow, July 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Tracy?

Tracy ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Tracy?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Tracy, CA is a seller's market with 3.1 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%, and the price-to-rent ratio of 20.6x means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.