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Sarah Mitchell

CNESRESABR

Compass Real Estate · Merced, CA

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Merced, CA(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Merced, CA Housing Market

Balanced market-1.0% YoY
Zillow, August 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The typical home in Merced, CA is worth $395,807, fell 1.0% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $405,000, +1.5% year over year (through May 2026). With 2.5 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 51 days, Merced is a balanced market. At today's 7.03% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $395,807 home is about $2,113/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Merced, CA

Typical home value

$395,807

-1.0% in 12 months

Zillow, August 2026

Typical asking rent

$2,028/mo

Zillow Observed Rent Index

Zillow, August 2026

Median sale price

$405,000

+1.5% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

51

Average pace

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

190

2.5 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

7.03%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026

Median household income

$59,938

Home costs 6.6x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

98.4%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures are as of August 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Merced a buyer's or seller's market?

Balanced market2.5 months of supply51 days on market98.4% of asking

Merced, CA is a balanced market, based on 2.5 months of supply and homes selling in about 51 days. Under 4 months of supply tilts the market toward sellers: homes clear faster than they are replaced, so concessions are scarce.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Merced housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Merced, CA. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Merced, CA, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$405,000
Median list price$427,932
Year-over-year price change+1.5%
Median price per sq ft$250/sq ft
Median days on market51 days
Active inventory190 listings
Months of supply2.5 months
Sale-to-list price ratio98.4%
Homes sold (that month)77
New listings (that month)86
Listings with a price cut28.9%
Market conditionBalanced market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Merced is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Merced is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Merced home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Merced, CA rose 5.5%, from $384,000 to $405,000. The live Zillow value series has fell 1.0% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. 28.9% of Merced listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 2.5 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 98.4%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Merced?

Priced off the typical home value of $395,807 at the current 7.03% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Merced, CA
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$79,161$316,646$2,113/mo
5%$19,790$376,017$2,509/mo

Zillow, August 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $2,113, that implies roughly $90,559 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Merced earns $59,938, about $30,621 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the typical home value to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 6.6x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Merced in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Merced market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Merced?

Typical asking rent in Merced, CA is $2,028/mo, against a typical home value of $395,807. That is a price-to-rent ratio of 16.3x, which means buying and renting land close enough together that the decision turns on how long you stay and your down payment. Compared head to head, 20% down puts principal and interest at $2,113 a month — $85 more than renting before taxes and insurance, so the ownership case here rests on equity and appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

Zillow, August 2026 for both value and rent

Add your own down payment, tax rate and time horizon in the rent vs. buy calculator.

Is inventory rising or falling in Merced?

Active listings in Merced, CA went from 266 in May 2025 to 190 in May 2026, a -28.6% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.

Active listings by month in Merced, CA
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 202525086
July 202525183
August 202521576
September 202521176
October 202521287
November 202521467
December 202520369
January 2026229122
February 202622394
March 202621795
April 202621698
May 202619086

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Merced compare to California and the U.S.?

Against the national median of $410,700, Merced runs 1% lower.

Merced, CA compared with California and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Merced, CA$405,000+1.5%51 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Merced

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 2.5. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 28.9%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $396 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 7.03%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $395,807 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Merced listing goes under contract in 51 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 98.4% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Merced added 86 new listings against 77 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Your equity moved -1.0% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Merced varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Merced

There are currently 190 homes listed for sale in Merced, California. The median listing price is $428K. Featured listings range from $319,000 to $553,970.

3 bedroom house for sale at 43 Skylark St Merced 95341 - $319,000
New Listing
14
$319,000

43 Skylark St

Merced, CA 95341

3 bd1 ba999 sqft$319/ft²
House3,585 sqft lot

Paulina Miramontes · HomeSmart PV & Associates

View photos & details
3 bedroom house for sale at 2085 Coronado Ave Merced 95348 - $347,000
New Listing
26
$347,000

2085 Coronado Ave

Merced, CA 95348

3 bd2 ba1,200 sqft$289/ft²
House8,394 sqft lot

Dalila Baptista · Lifestyle Realty

View photos & details
3 bedroom house for sale at 1570 E 26th St Merced 95340 - $349,000
New Listing
9
$349,000

1570 E 26th St

Merced, CA 95340

3 bd2 ba1,024 sqft$341/ft²
House8,952 sqft lot

Gustavo Hernandez · All State Homes

View photos & details
3 bedroom house for sale at 229 Travis Ct Merced 95341 - $393,990
New Build
9
$393,990

229 Travis Ct

Merced, CA 95341

3 bd2 ba1,290 sqft$305/ft²
House
View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 272 Sable St Merced 95341 - $425,990
New BuildPrice Drop −$4K
$425,990

272 Sable St

Merced, CA 95341

4 bd3 ba1,775 sqft$240/ft²
House
View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 156 River Oak Dr Merced 95341 - $454,990
New BuildPrice Drop −$5K
$454,990

156 River Oak Dr

Merced, CA 95341

4 bd3 ba1,842 sqft$247/ft²
House
View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 3951 Black Hawk Ct Merced 95340 - $469,900
New Listing
24
$469,900

3951 Black Hawk Ct

Merced, CA 95340

4 bd2 ba1,941 sqft$242/ft²
House6,499 sqft lot

Melinda Price · London Properties LTD

View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 4726 Alexandra Ct Merced 95348 - $472,790
New Build
$472,790

4726 Alexandra Ct

Merced, CA 95348

4 bd2 ba1,509 sqft$313/ft²
House
View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 4768 Alexandra Ct Merced 95348 - $474,990
New Build
$474,990

4768 Alexandra Ct

Merced, CA 95348

4 bd2 ba1,509 sqft$315/ft²
House
View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 4792 Alexandra Ct Merced 95348 - $484,890
New Build
$484,890

4792 Alexandra Ct

Merced, CA 95348

4 bd2 ba1,509 sqft$321/ft²
House
View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 4639 Sami Jo Dr Merced 95348 - $487,000
New Listing
23
$487,000

4639 Sami Jo Dr

Merced, CA 95348

4 bd2 ba1,885 sqft$258/ft²
House5,123 sqft lot

Armando Diaz · Soldavi Inc.

View photos & details
5 bedroom house for sale at 4147 Scarlet Ct Merced 95348 - $553,970
New Build
$553,970

4147 Scarlet Ct

Merced, CA 95348

5 bd3 ba2,287 sqft$242/ft²
House
View photos & details

Looking to buy in Merced?

Get connected with a local real estate expert — free, no obligation.

Active listings

190

Homes on market

Median list price

$428K

Avg. days on market

51

Days until sale

New this week

86

Newly listed

Price drops:28.9%of listings
Sale-to-list:98.4%

How much do homes cost in Merced by property type?

How the Merced, CA market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Merced, CA
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$402,475$257/sq ft6849 days
Condo / co-op$270,000$199/sq ft3142 days
Townhouse$275,000$240/sq ft17 days

Who lives in Merced?

American Community Survey estimates for Merced. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

89,766

Households

27,482

Median income

$59,938/yr

Median age

29.8 years

Owner-occupied

44.4%

Median home value

$347,700

Median gross rent

$1,293/mo

Mean commute

26.9 min

44.4% of occupied homes in Merced are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $347,700 against Zillow's $395,807 typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions. Census median gross rent (all leases, including long-held ones) is $1,293/mo, below Zillow's $2,028/mo asking rent on new leases — the difference is roughly what a mover pays over a stayer.

Which public schools serve Merced?

32 schools tracked · 21,361 students

The largest public schools serving Merced, CA by enrollment, drawn from the National Center for Education Statistics. School quality is a commonly cited factor in home-buying decisions — these are the campuses families in this area are most likely to encounter.

Golden Valley High

Grades 9-12 · 1,955 students

Public

Merced High

Grades 9-12 · 1,951 students

Public

El Capitan High

Grades 9-12 · 1,811 students

Public

Pioneer Elementary

Grades K-5 · 1,062 students

Public

Weaver Middle

Grades 6-8 · 1,000 students

Public

Farmdale Elementary

Grades K-5 · 970 students

Public

McSwain Elementary

Grades K-8 · 939 students

Public

Rudolph Rivera Elementary

Grades K-6 · 894 students

Public

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data directory. Updated annually. Ratings and test scores are not currently displayed.

Which cities are near Merced, CA?

Ordered by distance from Merced, not by size. Compare Merced side by side with any of them.

Which ZIP codes are in Merced?

These are the ZIP codes we see on active Merced listings. Redfin did not publish a matching ZIP-level sale row for the same period, so we are not ranking them by price here — each ZIP page shows exactly what we hold for it.

Merced housing market FAQ

Is Merced a buyer's or seller's market?

Merced, CA is currently a balanced market. That read comes from 2.5 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 51 days, and sellers getting 98.4% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Merced?

The typical home in Merced, CA is worth $395,807 (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $405,000, about $250 per square foot.

Is Merced cheaper than the rest of California?

We do not currently hold a statewide comparison row for California at the same period as Merced, so we are not going to assert a comparison we cannot show the math on. The California hub lists every city we do track.

How long do homes take to sell in Merced?

Homes in Merced, CA spent a median of 51 days on market before going under contract. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Merced?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 7.03%, 20% down on a $395,807 home is about $2,113 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $90,559 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $59,938.

Are home prices rising in Merced?

The typical home value in Merced, CA fell 1.0% over the last 12 months, from $399,998 to $395,807 (Zillow, August 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Merced?

Merced ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Merced?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Merced, CA is a balanced market with 2.5 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 7.03%, and the price-to-rent ratio of 16.3x means buying and renting land close enough together that the decision turns on how long you stay and your down payment. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.