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Sarah Mitchell

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Compass Real Estate · Lake Dunlap, TX

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Lake Dunlap, TX(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Lake Dunlap, TX Housing Market

Leaning buyer's
Redfin, through April 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The last median sale price Redfin published was $312,000 (through May 2026). With 6.0 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 22 days, Lake Dunlap is a leaning buyer's. At today's 7.03% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $312,000 home is about $1,666/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Lake Dunlap, TX

Median sale price

$312,000

Last published period

Redfin, through April 2026

Days on market

22

Average pace

Redfin, through April 2026

Active listings

6

6.0 months of supply

Redfin, through April 2026

30-yr fixed rate

7.03%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026

Median household income

$73,056

Home costs 4.3x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

96.3%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through April 2026

Zillow figures refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Lake Dunlap a buyer's or seller's market?

Leaning buyer's6.0 months of supply22 days on market96.3% of asking

Lake Dunlap, TX is a leaning buyer's, based on 6.0 months of supply and homes selling in about 22 days. Above 5 months of supply, homes start accumulating faster than they clear, which is where buyers gain leverage on price, repairs, and closing costs.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Lake Dunlap housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Lake Dunlap, TX. Redfin, through April 2026

Housing market statistics for Lake Dunlap, TX, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$312,000
Median list price$849,950
Median price per sq ft$190/sq ft
Median days on market22 days
Active inventory6 listings
Months of supply6.0 months
Sale-to-list price ratio96.3%
Homes sold (that month)1
New listings (that month)2
Listings with a price cut50.0%
Market conditionLeaning buyer's

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Lake Dunlap is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Lake Dunlap is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Lake Dunlap home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Lake Dunlap, TX fell 19.5%, from $387,500 to $312,000. 50.0% of Lake Dunlap listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 6.0 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 96.3%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through April 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Lake Dunlap?

Priced off the median sale price of $312,000 at the current 7.03% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Lake Dunlap, TX
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$62,400$249,600$1,666/mo
5%$15,600$296,400$1,978/mo

Redfin, through April 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $1,666, that implies roughly $71,384 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Lake Dunlap earns $73,056, about $1,672 more than that threshold — the typical local household clears the payment on a typical local home with 20% down. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 4.3x — above the historical 3x norm but in line with much of the country in 2026.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Lake Dunlap in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Lake Dunlap market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Lake Dunlap?

Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Lake Dunlap, TX, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.

Is inventory rising or falling in Lake Dunlap?

Active listings in Lake Dunlap, TX went from 5 in July 2024 to 6 in April 2026, a +20.0% change. Rising inventory is the single most useful leading indicator for buyers: more choice, longer marketing times, and more sellers willing to negotiate before price cuts show up in the median.

Active listings by month in Lake Dunlap, TX
MonthActive listingsNew listings
September 202452
October 20244not published
November 202441
January 20253not published
May 202574
July 20257not published
September 202592
October 20257not published
December 202581
February 202671
March 202672
April 202662

Redfin, through April 2026

How does Lake Dunlap compare to Texas and the U.S.?

Lake Dunlap homes sell for $312,000 — 12% below the Texas median of $356,100. Against the national median of $410,700, Lake Dunlap runs 24% lower.

Lake Dunlap, TX compared with Texas and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Lake Dunlap, TX$312,000not published22 days
Texas statewide$356,100+2.1%56 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through April 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Lake Dunlap

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 6.0. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 50.0%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $312 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 7.03%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $312,000 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Lake Dunlap listing goes under contract in 22 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 96.3% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Lake Dunlap added 2 new listings against 1 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Lake Dunlap varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Lake Dunlap

There are currently 6 homes listed for sale in Lake Dunlap, Texas. The median listing price is $850K.

Active listings

6

Homes on market

Median list price

$850K

Avg. days on market

22

Days until sale

New this week

2

Newly listed

Price drops:50.0%of listings
Sale-to-list:96.3%

How much do homes cost in Lake Dunlap by property type?

How the Lake Dunlap, TX market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through April 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Lake Dunlap, TX
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$312,000$190/sq ft122 days

Who lives in Lake Dunlap?

American Community Survey estimates for Lake Dunlap. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

1,230

Households

500

Median income

$73,056/yr

Median age

41.7 years

Owner-occupied

94.8%

Median home value

$202,600

Mean commute

28.6 min

94.8% of occupied homes in Lake Dunlap are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market.

Which cities are near Lake Dunlap, TX?

Ordered by distance from Lake Dunlap, not by size. Compare Lake Dunlap side by side with any of them.

Lake Dunlap housing market FAQ

Is Lake Dunlap a buyer's or seller's market?

Lake Dunlap, TX is currently a leaning buyer's. That read comes from 6.0 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 22 days, and sellers getting 96.3% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Lake Dunlap?

The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $312,000, about $190 per square foot.

Is Lake Dunlap cheaper than the rest of Texas?

Lake Dunlap's median sale price of $312,000 is 12% lower than the Texas statewide median of $356,100, and 24% below the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Lake Dunlap?

Homes in Lake Dunlap, TX spent a median of 22 days on market before going under contract, versus 56 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Lake Dunlap?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 7.03%, 20% down on a $312,000 home is about $1,666 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $71,384 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $73,056.

Are home prices rising in Lake Dunlap?

We do not hold a complete 12-month value series for Lake Dunlap, TX yet, so we are not going to call a direction. The price chart above shows every period we do have.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Lake Dunlap?

Lake Dunlap ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Lake Dunlap?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Lake Dunlap, TX is a leaning buyer's with 6.0 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 7.03%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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One email: what homes are actually clearing at around $312,000, how long they sit, which ZIPs run cheaper, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.