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Sarah Mitchell

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Compass Real Estate · Franconia, VA

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Franconia, VA(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Franconia, VA Housing Market

Strong seller's market+3.0% YoY
Redfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The last median sale price Redfin published was $618,000, +3.0% year over year (through May 2026). With 1.7 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 35 days, Franconia is a strong seller's market. At today's 7.03% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $618,000 home is about $3,299/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Franconia, VA

Median sale price

$618,000

+3.0% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

35

Average pace

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

38

1.7 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

7.03%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026

Median household income

$152,007

Home costs 4.1x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

100.9%

Selling above asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Franconia a buyer's or seller's market?

Strong seller's market1.7 months of supply35 days on market100.9% of asking

Franconia, VA is a strong seller's market, based on 1.7 months of supply and homes selling in about 35 days. Under 2 months of supply is a severe shortage: expect competition on almost anything priced correctly, and little room to negotiate below asking.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Franconia housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Franconia, VA. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Franconia, VA, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$618,000
Median list price$599,900
Year-over-year price change+3.0%
Median price per sq ft$380/sq ft
Median days on market35 days
Active inventory38 listings
Months of supply1.7 months
Sale-to-list price ratio100.9%
Homes sold (that month)23
New listings (that month)31
Listings with a price cut10.5%
Market conditionStrong seller's market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Franconia is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Franconia is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Franconia home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Franconia, VA rose 15.2%, from $536,300 to $618,000. 10.5% of Franconia listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a modest share, which is what a market looks like when sellers are pricing close to where homes actually clear. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 1.7 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 100.9%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Franconia?

Priced off the median sale price of $618,000 at the current 7.03% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Franconia, VA
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$123,600$494,400$3,299/mo
5%$30,900$587,100$3,918/mo

Redfin, through May 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $3,299, that implies roughly $141,395 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Franconia earns $152,007, about $10,612 more than that threshold — the typical local household clears the payment on a typical local home with 20% down. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 4.1x — above the historical 3x norm but in line with much of the country in 2026.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Franconia in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Franconia market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Franconia?

Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Franconia, VA, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.

Is inventory rising or falling in Franconia?

Active listings in Franconia, VA went from 52 in May 2025 to 38 in May 2026, a -26.9% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.

Active listings by month in Franconia, VA
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 20255232
July 20253919
August 20254726
September 20254922
October 20255732
November 20254915
December 2025318
January 20262215
February 20262223
March 20261715
April 20263239
May 20263831

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Franconia compare to Virginia and the U.S.?

Franconia homes sell for $618,000 — 24% above the Virginia median of $499,300. Against the national median of $410,700, Franconia runs 50% higher. Year-over-year, Franconia moved +3.0% against Virginia's +3.9% — a smaller swing than the state as a whole.

Franconia, VA compared with Virginia and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Franconia, VA$618,000+3.0%35 days
Virginia statewide$499,300+3.9%28 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Franconia

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 1.7. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 10.5%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $619 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 7.03%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $618,000 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Franconia listing goes under contract in 35 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 100.9% of asking. Price at the number you want and let competition do the rest.
  • In the last published month Franconia added 31 new listings against 23 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Franconia varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Franconia

There are currently 38 homes listed for sale in Franconia, Virginia. The median listing price is $600K.

Active listings

38

Homes on market

Median list price

$600K

Avg. days on market

35

Days until sale

New this week

31

Newly listed

Price drops:10.5%of listings
Sale-to-list:100.9%

How much do homes cost in Franconia by property type?

How the Franconia, VA market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Franconia, VA
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$755,000$330/sq ft14 days
Condo / co-op$429,999$364/sq ft541 days
Townhouse$635,000$395/sq ft1729 days

Who lives in Franconia?

American Community Survey estimates for Franconia. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

18,141

Households

7,545

Median income

$152,007/yr

Median age

40.7 years

Owner-occupied

77.2%

Median home value

$557,800

Median gross rent

$2,469/mo

Mean commute

30.9 min

77.2% of occupied homes in Franconia are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market.

Which cities are near Franconia, VA?

Ordered by distance from Franconia, not by size. Compare Franconia side by side with any of them.

Franconia housing market FAQ

Is Franconia a buyer's or seller's market?

Franconia, VA is currently a strong seller's market. That read comes from 1.7 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 35 days, and sellers getting 100.9% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Franconia?

The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $618,000, about $380 per square foot.

Is Franconia cheaper than the rest of Virginia?

Franconia's median sale price of $618,000 is 24% higher than the Virginia statewide median of $499,300, and 50% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Franconia?

Homes in Franconia, VA spent a median of 35 days on market before going under contract, versus 28 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Franconia?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 7.03%, 20% down on a $618,000 home is about $3,299 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $141,395 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $152,007.

Are home prices rising in Franconia?

Redfin's last published year-over-year change for Franconia, VA was +3.0%, measured through May 2026. That series is frozen; treat it as a historical reading rather than a current trend.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Franconia?

Franconia ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Franconia?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Franconia, VA is a strong seller's market with 1.7 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 7.03%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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One email: what homes are actually clearing at around $618,000, how long they sit, which ZIPs run cheaper, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.