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Sarah Mitchell

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Compass Real Estate · Ashburn, VA

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Ashburn, VA(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
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Ashburn, VA Housing Market

Strong seller's market-1.4% YoY
Zillow, August 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The typical home in Ashburn, VA is worth $798,580, fell 1.4% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $685,000, -3.5% year over year (through May 2026). With 1.5 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 20 days, Ashburn is a strong seller's market. At today's 7.03% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $798,580 home is about $4,263/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Ashburn, VA

Typical home value

$798,580

-1.4% in 12 months

Zillow, August 2026

Typical asking rent

$3,039/mo

Zillow Observed Rent Index

Zillow, August 2026

Median sale price

$685,000

-3.5% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

20

Fast-moving

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

65

1.5 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

7.03%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026

Median household income

$152,094

Home costs 5.3x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

101.1%

Selling above asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures are as of August 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Ashburn a buyer's or seller's market?

Strong seller's market1.5 months of supply20 days on market101.1% of asking

Ashburn, VA is a strong seller's market, based on 1.5 months of supply and homes selling in about 20 days. Under 2 months of supply is a severe shortage: expect competition on almost anything priced correctly, and little room to negotiate below asking.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Ashburn housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Ashburn, VA. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Ashburn, VA, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$685,000
Median list price$697,000
Year-over-year price change-3.5%
Median price per sq ft$312/sq ft
Median days on market20 days
Active inventory65 listings
Months of supply1.5 months
Sale-to-list price ratio101.1%
Homes sold (that month)42
New listings (that month)62
Listings with a price cut30.8%
Market conditionStrong seller's market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Ashburn is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Ashburn is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Ashburn home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Ashburn, VA rose 1.5%, from $675,000 to $685,000. The live Zillow value series has fell 1.4% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. 30.8% of Ashburn listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 1.5 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 101.1%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Ashburn?

Priced off the typical home value of $798,580 at the current 7.03% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Ashburn, VA
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$159,716$638,864$4,263/mo
5%$39,929$758,651$5,063/mo

Zillow, August 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $4,263, that implies roughly $182,711 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Ashburn earns $152,094, about $30,617 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the typical home value to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 5.3x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Ashburn in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Ashburn market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Ashburn?

Typical asking rent in Ashburn, VA is $3,039/mo, against a typical home value of $798,580. That is a price-to-rent ratio of 21.9x, which means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Compared head to head, 20% down puts principal and interest at $4,263 a month — $1,224 more than renting before taxes and insurance, so the ownership case here rests on equity and appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

Zillow, August 2026 for both value and rent

Add your own down payment, tax rate and time horizon in the rent vs. buy calculator.

Is inventory rising or falling in Ashburn?

Active listings in Ashburn, VA went from 102 in May 2025 to 65 in May 2026, a -36.3% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.

Active listings by month in Ashburn, VA
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 202510259
July 20259459
August 20258842
September 20258944
October 20256838
November 20255338
December 20253012
January 20264026
February 20263633
March 20265059
April 20265462
May 20266562

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Ashburn compare to Virginia and the U.S.?

Ashburn homes sell for $685,000 — 37% above the Virginia median of $499,300. Against the national median of $410,700, Ashburn runs 67% higher. Year-over-year, Ashburn moved -3.5% against Virginia's +3.9% — a smaller swing than the state as a whole.

Ashburn, VA compared with Virginia and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Ashburn, VA$685,000-3.5%20 days
Virginia statewide$499,300+3.9%28 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Ashburn

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 1.5. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 30.8%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $799 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 7.03%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $798,580 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Ashburn listing goes under contract in 20 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 101.1% of asking. Price at the number you want and let competition do the rest.
  • In the last published month Ashburn added 62 new listings against 42 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Your equity moved -1.4% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Ashburn varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Ashburn

There are currently 65 homes listed for sale in Ashburn, Virginia. The median listing price is $697K. Featured listings range from $385,000 to $1,699,000.

2 bedroom condo for sale at 44156 Natalie Ter Unit 301 Ashburn 20147 - $385,000
New Listing
41
$385,000

44156 Natalie Ter Unit 301

Ashburn, VA 20147

2 bd2 ba1,222 sqft$315/ft²
Condo

Areeb Fayyaz · Redfin Corporation

View photos & details
2 bedroom condo for sale at 23255 Milltown Knoll Sq Unit 104 Ashburn 20148 - $517,000
New Listing
30
$517,000

23255 Milltown Knoll Sq Unit 104

Ashburn, VA 20148

2 bd3 ba1,618 sqft$320/ft²
Condo

Brendan Murphy · Samson Properties

View photos & details
3 bedroom condo for sale at 43490 Jefferson Park St Ashburn 20148 - $583,000
New Build
13
$583,000

43490 Jefferson Park St

Ashburn, VA 20148

3 bd3 ba1,525 sqft$382/ft²
Condo
View photos & details
3 bedroom condo for sale at 22101 Midmoore Dr Ashburn 20148 - $702,000
New Build
13
$702,000

22101 Midmoore Dr

Ashburn, VA 20148

3 bd3 ba2,500 sqft$281/ft²
Condo
View photos & details
3 bedroom condo for sale at 43500 Jefferson Park St Ashburn 20148 - $709,000
New Build
15
$709,000

43500 Jefferson Park St

Ashburn, VA 20148

3 bd3 ba2,500 sqft$284/ft²
Condo
View photos & details
3 bedroom condo for sale at Homesite 66 Northpark Dr Ashburn 20147 - $759,990
New Build
20
$759,990

Homesite 66 Northpark Dr

Ashburn, VA 20147

3 bd3 ba2,430 sqft$313/ft²
Condo

Brittany Newman · DRB Group Realty, LLC

View photos & details
3 bedroom condo for sale at Homesite 62 Northpark Dr Ashburn 20147 - $769,990
New BuildPrice Drop −$20K
25
$769,990

Homesite 62 Northpark Dr

Ashburn, VA 20147

3 bd3 ba2,450 sqft$314/ft²
Condo
View photos & details
3 bedroom townhouse for sale at 42970 Truman Ter Ashburn 20148 - $882,206
New Build
2
$882,206

42970 Truman Ter

Ashburn, VA 20148

3 bd4 ba2,700 sqft$327/ft²
Townhouse
View photos & details
3 bedroom townhouse for sale at 23488 Logans Ridge Ter Ashburn 20148 - $895,000
New Listing
59
$895,000

23488 Logans Ridge Ter

Ashburn, VA 20148

3 bd4 ba3,316 sqft$270/ft²
Townhouse3,485 sqft lot

Akshay Bhatnagar · Virginia Select Homes, LLC.

View photos & details
3 bedroom house for sale at 44378 Agawam Ter Ashburn 20147 - $899,000
New Listing
43
$899,000

44378 Agawam Ter

Ashburn, VA 20147

3 bd4 ba3,865 sqft$233/ft²
House4,356 sqft lot

Dixie Rapuano · Pearson Smith Realty, LLC

View photos & details
3 bedroom townhouse for sale at 43433 Wilcox Ter Ashburn 20148 - $949,900
New Listing
106
$949,900

43433 Wilcox Ter

Ashburn, VA 20148

3 bd5 ba2,631 sqft$361/ft²
Townhouse1,742 sqft lot

Saad Jamil · Samson Properties

View photos & details
4 bedroom house for sale at 22527 Forest Run Dr Ashburn 20148 - $1,699,000
New Listing
10
$1,699,000

22527 Forest Run Dr

Ashburn, VA 20148

4 bd5 ba5,729 sqft$297/ft²
House20,038 sqft lot

Andrea McSorley · Long & Foster Real Estate, Inc.

View photos & details

Looking to buy in Ashburn?

Get connected with a local real estate expert — free, no obligation.

Active listings

65

Homes on market

Median list price

$697K

Avg. days on market

20

Days until sale

New this week

62

Newly listed

Price drops:30.8%of listings
Sale-to-list:101.1%

How much do homes cost in Ashburn by property type?

How the Ashburn, VA market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Ashburn, VA
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$925,000$291/sq ft1314 days
Condo / co-op$373,500$332/sq ft618 days
Townhouse$650,000$318/sq ft2323 days

Who lives in Ashburn?

American Community Survey estimates for Ashburn. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

45,551

Households

17,067

Median income

$152,094/yr

Median age

41.3 years

Owner-occupied

68.5%

Median home value

$659,000

Median gross rent

$2,397/mo

Mean commute

28.9 min

68.5% of occupied homes in Ashburn are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $659,000 against Zillow's $798,580 typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions. Census median gross rent (all leases, including long-held ones) is $2,397/mo, below Zillow's $3,039/mo asking rent on new leases — the difference is roughly what a mover pays over a stayer.

Which public schools serve Ashburn?

25 schools tracked · 25,293 students

The largest public schools serving Ashburn, VA by enrollment, drawn from the National Center for Education Statistics. School quality is a commonly cited factor in home-buying decisions — these are the campuses families in this area are most likely to encounter.

Independence High

Grades 9-12 · 2,073 students

Public

Briar Woods High

Grades 9-12 · 1,763 students

Public

Stone Bridge High

Grades 9-12 · 1,697 students

Public

Brambleton Middle

Grades 6-8 · 1,685 students

Public

Broad Run High

Grades 9-12 · 1,586 students

Public

Rock Ridge High

Grades PK-12 · 1,535 students

Public

Eagle Ridge Middle

Grades 6-8 · 1,277 students

Public

Stone Hill Middle

Grades 6-8 · 1,163 students

Public

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data directory. Updated annually. Ratings and test scores are not currently displayed.

Which cities are near Ashburn, VA?

Ordered by distance from Ashburn, not by size. Compare Ashburn side by side with any of them.

Which ZIP codes are in Ashburn?

These are the ZIP codes we see on active Ashburn listings. Redfin did not publish a matching ZIP-level sale row for the same period, so we are not ranking them by price here — each ZIP page shows exactly what we hold for it.

Ashburn housing market FAQ

Is Ashburn a buyer's or seller's market?

Ashburn, VA is currently a strong seller's market. That read comes from 1.5 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 20 days, and sellers getting 101.1% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Ashburn?

The typical home in Ashburn, VA is worth $798,580 (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $685,000, about $312 per square foot.

Is Ashburn cheaper than the rest of Virginia?

Ashburn's median sale price of $685,000 is 37% higher than the Virginia statewide median of $499,300, and 67% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Ashburn?

Homes in Ashburn, VA spent a median of 20 days on market before going under contract, versus 28 days statewide. Under three weeks means well-priced listings move before most buyers can schedule a second showing. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Ashburn?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 7.03%, 20% down on a $798,580 home is about $4,263 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $182,711 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $152,094.

Are home prices rising in Ashburn?

The typical home value in Ashburn, VA fell 1.4% over the last 12 months, from $809,681 to $798,580 (Zillow, August 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Ashburn?

Ashburn ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Ashburn?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Ashburn, VA is a strong seller's market with 1.5 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 7.03%, and the price-to-rent ratio of 21.9x means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.