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Sarah Mitchell

CNESRESABR

Compass Real Estate · Little Elm, TX

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Little Elm, TX(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Little Elm, TX Housing Market

Balanced market-7.0% YoY
Zillow, August 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The typical home in Little Elm, TX is worth $393,657, fell 7.0% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $420,000, -10.8% year over year (through May 2026). With 3.6 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 61 days, Little Elm is a balanced market. At today's 7.03% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $393,657 home is about $2,102/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Little Elm, TX

Typical home value

$393,657

-7.0% in 12 months

Zillow, August 2026

Typical asking rent

$2,307/mo

Zillow Observed Rent Index

Zillow, August 2026

Median sale price

$420,000

-10.8% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

61

Slow-moving

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

325

3.6 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

7.03%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026

Median household income

$116,036

Home costs 3.4x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

98.1%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures are as of August 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Little Elm a buyer's or seller's market?

Balanced market3.6 months of supply61 days on market98.1% of asking

Little Elm, TX is a balanced market, based on 3.6 months of supply and homes selling in about 61 days. Under 4 months of supply tilts the market toward sellers: homes clear faster than they are replaced, so concessions are scarce.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Little Elm housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Little Elm, TX. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Little Elm, TX, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$420,000
Median list price$447,653
Year-over-year price change-10.8%
Median price per sq ft$181/sq ft
Median days on market61 days
Active inventory325 listings
Months of supply3.6 months
Sale-to-list price ratio98.1%
Homes sold (that month)91
New listings (that month)102
Listings with a price cut38.8%
Market conditionBalanced market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Little Elm is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Little Elm is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Little Elm home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Little Elm, TX fell 9.6%, from $464,550 to $420,000. The live Zillow value series has fell 7.0% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. 38.8% of Little Elm listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 3.6 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 98.1%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Little Elm?

Priced off the typical home value of $393,657 at the current 7.03% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Little Elm, TX
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$78,731$314,925$2,102/mo
5%$19,683$373,974$2,496/mo

Zillow, August 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $2,102, that implies roughly $90,067 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Little Elm earns $116,036, about $25,969 more than that threshold — the typical local household clears the payment on a typical local home with 20% down. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 3.4x — close to the historical 3x norm, which is unusual in 2026.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Little Elm in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Little Elm market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Little Elm?

Typical asking rent in Little Elm, TX is $2,307/mo, against a typical home value of $393,657. That is a price-to-rent ratio of 14.2x, which means buying tends to beat renting on monthly cost over a typical hold. Compared head to head, 20% down puts principal and interest at $2,102 a month — $205 less than renting before taxes and insurance, so ownership can win on monthly cost alone once you have the down payment.

Zillow, August 2026 for both value and rent

Add your own down payment, tax rate and time horizon in the rent vs. buy calculator.

Is inventory rising or falling in Little Elm?

Active listings in Little Elm, TX went from 381 in May 2025 to 325 in May 2026, a -14.7% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.

Active listings by month in Little Elm, TX
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 2025407132
July 2025390100
August 2025380122
September 202536678
October 202536081
November 202533460
December 202528453
January 202627562
February 202629295
March 2026330122
April 2026345129
May 2026325102

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Little Elm compare to Texas and the U.S.?

Little Elm homes sell for $420,000 — 18% above the Texas median of $356,100. Against the national median of $410,700, Little Elm runs 2% higher. Year-over-year, Little Elm moved -10.8% against Texas's +2.1% — a bigger swing than the state as a whole.

Little Elm, TX compared with Texas and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Little Elm, TX$420,000-10.8%61 days
Texas statewide$356,100+2.1%56 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Little Elm

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 3.6. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 38.8%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $394 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 7.03%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $393,657 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Little Elm listing goes under contract in 61 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 98.1% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Little Elm added 102 new listings against 91 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Your equity moved -7.0% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Little Elm varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Little Elm

There are currently 325 homes listed for sale in Little Elm, Texas. The median listing price is $448K.

Active listings

325

Homes on market

Median list price

$448K

Avg. days on market

61

Days until sale

New this week

102

Newly listed

Price drops:38.8%of listings
Sale-to-list:98.1%

How much do homes cost in Little Elm by property type?

How the Little Elm, TX market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Little Elm, TX
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$420,000$181/sq ft8964 days
Townhouse$305,000$147/sq ft212 days

Who lives in Little Elm?

American Community Survey estimates for Little Elm. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

51,426

Households

17,604

Median income

$116,036/yr

Median age

36 years

Owner-occupied

68.3%

Median home value

$390,300

Median gross rent

$1,900/mo

Mean commute

35.4 min

68.3% of occupied homes in Little Elm are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $390,300 against Zillow's $393,657 typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions. Census median gross rent (all leases, including long-held ones) is $1,900/mo, below Zillow's $2,307/mo asking rent on new leases — the difference is roughly what a mover pays over a stayer.

Which public schools serve Little Elm?

11 schools tracked · 8,094 students

The largest public schools serving Little Elm, TX by enrollment, drawn from the National Center for Education Statistics. School quality is a commonly cited factor in home-buying decisions — these are the campuses families in this area are most likely to encounter.

LITTLE ELM H S

Grades 9-12 · 2,529 students

Public

JERRY R WALKER MIDDLE

Grades 6-8 · 930 students

Public

LOWELL H STRIKE MIDDLE

Grades 6-8 · 929 students

Public

ROBERTSON EL

Grades K-5 · 653 students

Public

CATHERINE BELL EL

Grades PK-5 · 616 students

Public

MILLER EL

Grades K-5 · 602 students

Public

D H BRENT EL

Grades PK-5 · 582 students

Public

LAKEVIEW EL

Grades PK-5 · 561 students

Public

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data directory. Updated annually. Ratings and test scores are not currently displayed.

Which cities are near Little Elm, TX?

Ordered by distance from Little Elm, not by size. Compare Little Elm side by side with any of them.

Little Elm housing market FAQ

Is Little Elm a buyer's or seller's market?

Little Elm, TX is currently a balanced market. That read comes from 3.6 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 61 days, and sellers getting 98.1% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Little Elm?

The typical home in Little Elm, TX is worth $393,657 (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $420,000, about $181 per square foot.

Is Little Elm cheaper than the rest of Texas?

Little Elm's median sale price of $420,000 is 18% higher than the Texas statewide median of $356,100, and 2% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Little Elm?

Homes in Little Elm, TX spent a median of 61 days on market before going under contract, versus 56 days statewide. Over two months means buyers have time to inspect, compare and negotiate. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Little Elm?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 7.03%, 20% down on a $393,657 home is about $2,102 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $90,067 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $116,036.

Are home prices rising in Little Elm?

The typical home value in Little Elm, TX fell 7.0% over the last 12 months, from $423,211 to $393,657 (Zillow, August 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Little Elm?

Little Elm ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Little Elm?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Little Elm, TX is a balanced market with 3.6 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 7.03%, and the price-to-rent ratio of 14.2x means buying tends to beat renting on monthly cost over a typical hold. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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One email: what homes are actually clearing at around $393,657, how long they sit, which ZIPs run cheaper, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.