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Sarah Mitchell

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Compass Real Estate · Lake Kiowa, TX

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Lake Kiowa, TX(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Lake Kiowa, TX Housing Market

Buyer's market-1.2% YoY
Zillow, August 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The typical home in Lake Kiowa, TX is worth $527,634, fell 1.2% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $548,500, +7.5% year over year (through May 2026). With 11.4 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 77 days, Lake Kiowa is a buyer's market. At today's 7.03% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $527,634 home is about $2,817/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Lake Kiowa, TX

Typical home value

$527,634

-1.2% in 12 months

Zillow, August 2026

Median sale price

$548,500

+7.5% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

77

Slow-moving

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

57

11.4 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

7.03%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026

Median household income

$123,098

Home costs 4.3x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

95.0%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures are as of August 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Lake Kiowa a buyer's or seller's market?

Buyer's market11.4 months of supply77 days on market95.0% of asking

Lake Kiowa, TX is a buyer's market, based on 11.4 months of supply and homes selling in about 77 days. Above 7 months of supply is a glut: inventory is well ahead of the sales pace, and buyers can take time to inspect, compare, and negotiate concessions.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Lake Kiowa housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Lake Kiowa, TX. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Lake Kiowa, TX, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$548,500
Median list price$497,450
Year-over-year price change+7.5%
Median price per sq ft$227/sq ft
Median days on market77 days
Active inventory57 listings
Months of supply11.4 months
Sale-to-list price ratio95.0%
Homes sold (that month)5
New listings (that month)16
Listings with a price cut28.1%
Market conditionBuyer's market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Lake Kiowa is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Lake Kiowa is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Lake Kiowa home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Lake Kiowa, TX rose 13.7%, from $482,500 to $548,500. The live Zillow value series has fell 1.2% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. 28.1% of Lake Kiowa listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 11.4 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 95.0%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Lake Kiowa?

Priced off the typical home value of $527,634 at the current 7.03% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Lake Kiowa, TX
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$105,527$422,107$2,817/mo
5%$26,382$501,252$3,345/mo

Zillow, August 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $2,817, that implies roughly $120,720 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Lake Kiowa earns $123,098, about $2,378 more than that threshold — the typical local household clears the payment on a typical local home with 20% down. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 4.3x — above the historical 3x norm but in line with much of the country in 2026.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Lake Kiowa in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Lake Kiowa market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Lake Kiowa?

Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Lake Kiowa, TX, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.

Is inventory rising or falling in Lake Kiowa?

Active listings in Lake Kiowa, TX went from 65 in May 2025 to 57 in May 2026, a -12.3% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.

Active listings by month in Lake Kiowa, TX
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 2025618
July 20255812
August 20255914
September 2025565
October 2025465
November 2025393
December 2025271
January 20263611
February 20264012
March 20264415
April 20264713
May 20265716

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Lake Kiowa compare to Texas and the U.S.?

Lake Kiowa homes sell for $548,500 — 54% above the Texas median of $356,100. Against the national median of $410,700, Lake Kiowa runs 34% higher. Year-over-year, Lake Kiowa moved +7.5% against Texas's +2.1% — a bigger swing than the state as a whole.

Lake Kiowa, TX compared with Texas and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Lake Kiowa, TX$548,500+7.5%77 days
Texas statewide$356,100+2.1%56 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Lake Kiowa

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 11.4. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 28.1%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $528 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 7.03%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $527,634 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Lake Kiowa listing goes under contract in 77 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 95.0% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Lake Kiowa added 16 new listings against 5 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Your equity moved -1.2% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Lake Kiowa varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Lake Kiowa

There are currently 57 homes listed for sale in Lake Kiowa, Texas. The median listing price is $497K.

Active listings

57

Homes on market

Median list price

$497K

Avg. days on market

77

Days until sale

New this week

16

Newly listed

Price drops:28.1%of listings
Sale-to-list:95.0%

How much do homes cost in Lake Kiowa by property type?

How the Lake Kiowa, TX market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Lake Kiowa, TX
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$548,500$227/sq ft577 days

Who lives in Lake Kiowa?

American Community Survey estimates for Lake Kiowa. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

2,496

Households

1,121

Median income

$123,098/yr

Median age

58.8 years

Owner-occupied

94.6%

Median home value

$467,500

Mean commute

30.4 min

94.6% of occupied homes in Lake Kiowa are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $467,500 against Zillow's $527,634 typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions.

Which cities are near Lake Kiowa, TX?

Ordered by distance from Lake Kiowa, not by size. Compare Lake Kiowa side by side with any of them.

Lake Kiowa housing market FAQ

Is Lake Kiowa a buyer's or seller's market?

Lake Kiowa, TX is currently a buyer's market. That read comes from 11.4 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 77 days, and sellers getting 95.0% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Lake Kiowa?

The typical home in Lake Kiowa, TX is worth $527,634 (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $548,500, about $227 per square foot.

Is Lake Kiowa cheaper than the rest of Texas?

Lake Kiowa's median sale price of $548,500 is 54% higher than the Texas statewide median of $356,100, and 34% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Lake Kiowa?

Homes in Lake Kiowa, TX spent a median of 77 days on market before going under contract, versus 56 days statewide. Over two months means buyers have time to inspect, compare and negotiate. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Lake Kiowa?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 7.03%, 20% down on a $527,634 home is about $2,817 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $120,720 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $123,098.

Are home prices rising in Lake Kiowa?

The typical home value in Lake Kiowa, TX fell 1.2% over the last 12 months, from $534,012 to $527,634 (Zillow, August 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Lake Kiowa?

Lake Kiowa ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Lake Kiowa?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Lake Kiowa, TX is a buyer's market with 11.4 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 7.03%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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One email: what homes are actually clearing at around $527,634, how long they sit, which ZIPs run cheaper, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.