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Featured local agent — Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX
Sarah Mitchell
Compass Real Estate · Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX
“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”
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Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX Housing Market
The last median sale price Redfin published was $125,750 (through May 2026). With 1.0 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 39 days, Big Thicket Lake Estates is a seller's market. At today's 7.03% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $125,750 home is about $671/mo in principal and interest.
Key numbers for Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX
Median sale price
$125,750
Last published period
Redfin, through May 2026
Days on market
39
Average pace
Redfin, through May 2026
Active listings
2
1.0 months of supply
Redfin, through May 2026
30-yr fixed rate
7.03%
Freddie Mac weekly average
Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026
Median household income
$22,074
Home costs 5.7x income
U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Sale-to-list ratio
90.6%
Selling below asking
Redfin, through May 2026
Zillow figures refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.
Is Big Thicket Lake Estates a buyer's or seller's market?
Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX is a seller's market, based on 1.0 months of supply and homes selling in about 39 days. Under 2 months of supply is a severe shortage: expect competition on almost anything priced correctly, and little room to negotiate below asking.
Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from
What does the Big Thicket Lake Estates housing market data show?
Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX. Redfin, through May 2026
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median sale price | $125,750 |
| Median list price | $120,000 |
| Median price per sq ft | $79/sq ft |
| Median days on market | 39 days |
| Active inventory | 2 listings |
| Months of supply | 1.0 months |
| Sale-to-list price ratio | 90.6% |
| Homes sold (that month) | 2 |
| New listings (that month) | 1 |
| Market condition | Seller's market |
How to read these numbers
- Median sale price
- Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Big Thicket Lake Estates is frozen at May 2026.
- Typical home value (ZHVI)
- Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Big Thicket Lake Estates is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
- Months of supply
- How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
- Days on market
- Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
- Sale-to-list ratio
- Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
- Price per square foot
- The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
- Listings with a price cut
- Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
- Typical asking rent (ZORI)
- Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.
How have Big Thicket Lake Estates home prices moved?
Across the 21 months we hold for Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX, the median sale price rose 293.0%, from $32,000 in August 2021 to $125,750. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 1.0 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 90.6%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.
Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.
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What does it cost to buy a home in Big Thicket Lake Estates?
Priced off the median sale price of $125,750 at the current 7.03% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.
| Down payment | Cash at close | Loan amount | Monthly P&I |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | $25,150 | $100,600 | $671/mo |
| 5% | $6,288 | $119,463 | $797/mo |
Redfin, through May 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 for the rate
What income do you need?
Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $671, that implies roughly $28,771 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Big Thicket Lake Estates earns $22,074, about $6,697 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the median sale price to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 5.7x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.
Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator
Buying in Big Thicket Lake Estates in the next 12 months?
Tell us your timeline. We send the Big Thicket Lake Estates market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.
Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Big Thicket Lake Estates?
Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.
Is inventory rising or falling in Big Thicket Lake Estates?
Active listings in Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX went from 3 in March 2023 to 2 in May 2026, a -33.3% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.
| Month | Active listings | New listings |
|---|---|---|
| May 2023 | 2 | 1 |
| June 2023 | 1 | 2 |
| July 2023 | 2 | 2 |
| October 2023 | 2 | not published |
| June 2024 | 4 | 1 |
| September 2024 | 3 | not published |
| August 2025 | 1 | not published |
| November 2025 | 1 | not published |
| December 2025 | 1 | not published |
| March 2026 | 4 | 1 |
| April 2026 | 1 | 1 |
| May 2026 | 2 | 1 |
Redfin, through May 2026
How does Big Thicket Lake Estates compare to Texas and the U.S.?
Big Thicket Lake Estates homes sell for $125,750 — 65% below the Texas median of $356,100. Against the national median of $410,700, Big Thicket Lake Estates runs 69% lower.
| Market | Median sale price | YoY | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX | $125,750 | not published | 39 days |
| Texas statewide | $356,100 | +2.1% | 56 days |
| United States | $410,700 | not published | not published |
City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)
What to do next in Big Thicket Lake Estates
What buyers should watch
- Months of supply, currently 1.0. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
- The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $126 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
- Rate moves. At 7.03%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $125,750 home more than a 5% price change does.
- Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.
What sellers should know
- The median Big Thicket Lake Estates listing goes under contract in 39 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
- Homes here close at 90.6% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
- In the last published month Big Thicket Lake Estates added 1 new listings against 2 sales — more clearing than arriving, which is the better window to list.
- Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Big Thicket Lake Estates varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.
Homes for sale in Big Thicket Lake Estates
There are currently 2 homes listed for sale in Big Thicket Lake Estates, Texas. The median listing price is $120K.
Active listings
2
Homes on market
Median list price
$120K
Avg. days on market
39
Days until sale
New this week
1
Newly listed
How much do homes cost in Big Thicket Lake Estates by property type?
How the Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026
| Property type | Median price | Price / sq ft | Homes sold | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single-family | $125,750 | $79/sq ft | 2 | 39 days |
Who lives in Big Thicket Lake Estates?
American Community Survey estimates for Big Thicket Lake Estates. U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Population
550
Households
259
Median income
$22,074/yr
Median age
60.5 years
Owner-occupied
77.2%
Median home value
$111,000
Mean commute
31.2 min
77.2% of occupied homes in Big Thicket Lake Estates are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market.
Which cities are near Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX?
Ordered by distance from Big Thicket Lake Estates, not by size. Compare Big Thicket Lake Estates side by side with any of them.
Big Thicket Lake Estates housing market FAQ
Is Big Thicket Lake Estates a buyer's or seller's market?
Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX is currently a seller's market. That read comes from 1.0 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 39 days, and sellers getting 90.6% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).
How much do homes cost in Big Thicket Lake Estates?
The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $125,750, about $79 per square foot.
Is Big Thicket Lake Estates cheaper than the rest of Texas?
Big Thicket Lake Estates's median sale price of $125,750 is 65% lower than the Texas statewide median of $356,100, and 69% below the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.
How long do homes take to sell in Big Thicket Lake Estates?
Homes in Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX spent a median of 39 days on market before going under contract, versus 56 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)
What income do you need to buy a home in Big Thicket Lake Estates?
At the current 30-year fixed rate of 7.03%, 20% down on a $125,750 home is about $671 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $28,771 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $22,074.
Are home prices rising in Big Thicket Lake Estates?
We do not hold a complete 12-month value series for Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX yet, so we are not going to call a direction. The price chart above shows every period we do have.
What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Big Thicket Lake Estates?
Big Thicket Lake Estates ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.
Is now a good time to buy in Big Thicket Lake Estates?
That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Big Thicket Lake Estates, TX is a seller's market with 1.0 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 7.03%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.
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