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Sarah Mitchell

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Compass Real Estate · Orchard Park, NY

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Orchard Park, NY(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Orchard Park, NY Housing Market

Strong seller's market-20.3% YoY
Zillow, July 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The last median sale price Redfin published was $400,000, -20.3% year over year (through May 2026). With 1.0 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 6 days, Orchard Park is a strong seller's market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $400,000 home is about $2,056/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Orchard Park, NY

Typical asking rent

$2,069/mo

Zillow Observed Rent Index

Zillow, July 2026

Median sale price

$400,000

-20.3% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

6

Fast-moving

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

3

1.0 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

6.66%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026

Median household income

$97,014

Home costs 4.1x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

106.6%

Selling above asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures are as of July 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Orchard Park a buyer's or seller's market?

Strong seller's market1.0 months of supply6 days on market106.6% of asking

Orchard Park, NY is a strong seller's market, based on 1.0 months of supply and homes selling in about 6 days. Under 2 months of supply is a severe shortage: expect competition on almost anything priced correctly, and little room to negotiate below asking.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Orchard Park housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Orchard Park, NY. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Orchard Park, NY, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$400,000
Median list price$434,900
Year-over-year price change-20.3%
Median price per sq ft$203/sq ft
Median days on market6 days
Active inventory3 listings
Months of supply1.0 months
Sale-to-list price ratio106.6%
Homes sold (that month)3
New listings (that month)5
Market conditionStrong seller's market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Orchard Park is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Orchard Park is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Orchard Park home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Orchard Park, NY fell 4.8%, from $420,000 to $400,000. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 1.0 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 106.6%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Orchard Park?

Priced off the median sale price of $400,000 at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Orchard Park, NY
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$80,000$320,000$2,056/mo
5%$20,000$380,000$2,442/mo

Redfin, through May 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $2,056, that implies roughly $88,132 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Orchard Park earns $97,014, about $8,882 more than that threshold — the typical local household clears the payment on a typical local home with 20% down. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 4.1x — above the historical 3x norm but in line with much of the country in 2026.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Orchard Park in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Orchard Park market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Orchard Park?

Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Orchard Park, NY, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.

Is inventory rising or falling in Orchard Park?

Active listings in Orchard Park, NY went from 1 in March 2025 to 3 in May 2026, a +200.0% change. Rising inventory is the single most useful leading indicator for buyers: more choice, longer marketing times, and more sellers willing to negotiate before price cuts show up in the median.

Active listings by month in Orchard Park, NY
MonthActive listingsNew listings
May 202524
June 202546
July 202567
August 202554
September 202532
October 202521
November 202511
December 202511
January 202611
March 202612
April 202614
May 202635

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Orchard Park compare to New York and the U.S.?

Orchard Park homes sell for $400,00036% below the New York median of $620,500. Against the national median of $410,700, Orchard Park runs 3% lower. Year-over-year, Orchard Park moved -20.3% against New York's +5.1%a bigger swing than the state as a whole.

Orchard Park, NY compared with New York and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Orchard Park, NY$400,000-20.3%6 days
New York statewide$620,500+5.1%42 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Orchard Park

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 1.0. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $386 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $400,000 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Orchard Park listing goes under contract in 6 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 106.6% of asking. Price at the number you want and let competition do the rest.
  • In the last published month Orchard Park added 5 new listings against 3 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Orchard Park varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Orchard Park

There are currently 3 homes listed for sale in Orchard Park, New York. The median listing price is $435K.

Active listings

3

Homes on market

Median list price

$435K

Avg. days on market

6

Days until sale

New this week

5

Newly listed

Sale-to-list:106.6%

How much do homes cost in Orchard Park by property type?

How the Orchard Park, NY market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Orchard Park, NY
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$417,000$257/sq ft16 days
Condo / co-op$375,000$203/sq ft11 days
Townhouse$475,000$233/sq ft15133 days

Who lives in Orchard Park?

American Community Survey estimates for Orchard Park. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

3,066

Households

1,495

Median income

$97,014/yr

Median age

46.6 years

Owner-occupied

56.0%

Median home value

$371,900

Median gross rent

$1,184/mo

Mean commute

21 min

56.0% of occupied homes in Orchard Park are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. Census median gross rent (all leases, including long-held ones) is $1,184/mo, below Zillow's $2,069/mo asking rent on new leases — the difference is roughly what a mover pays over a stayer.

Which public schools serve Orchard Park?

6 schools tracked · 4,779 students

The largest public schools serving Orchard Park, NY by enrollment, drawn from the National Center for Education Statistics. School quality is a commonly cited factor in home-buying decisions — these are the campuses families in this area are most likely to encounter.

ORCHARD PARK HIGH SCHOOL

Grades 9-12 · 1,389 students

Public

ORCHARD PARK MIDDLE SCHOOL

Grades 6-8 · 1,056 students

Public

ELLICOTT ROAD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

Grades PK-5 · 717 students

Public

WINDOM ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

Grades PK-5 · 615 students

Public

EGGERT ROAD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

Grades PK-5 · 609 students

Public

SOUTH DAVIS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

Grades PK-5 · 393 students

Public

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data directory. Updated annually. Ratings and test scores are not currently displayed.

Which cities are near Orchard Park, NY?

Ordered by distance from Orchard Park, not by size. Compare Orchard Park side by side with any of them.

Orchard Park housing market FAQ

Is Orchard Park a buyer's or seller's market?

Orchard Park, NY is currently a strong seller's market. That read comes from 1.0 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 6 days, and sellers getting 106.6% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Orchard Park?

The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $400,000, about $203 per square foot.

Is Orchard Park cheaper than the rest of New York?

Orchard Park's median sale price of $400,000 is 36% lower than the New York statewide median of $620,500, and 3% below the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Orchard Park?

Homes in Orchard Park, NY spent a median of 6 days on market before going under contract, versus 42 days statewide. Under three weeks means well-priced listings move before most buyers can schedule a second showing. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Orchard Park?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $400,000 home is about $2,056 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $88,132 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $97,014.

Are home prices rising in Orchard Park?

Redfin's last published year-over-year change for Orchard Park, NY was -20.3%, measured through May 2026. That series is frozen; treat it as a historical reading rather than a current trend.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Orchard Park?

Orchard Park ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Orchard Park?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Orchard Park, NY is a strong seller's market with 1.0 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.