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Sarah Mitchell

CNESRESABR

Compass Real Estate · Paia, HI

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Paia, HI(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Paia, HI Housing Market

Buyer's market-1.4% YoY
Zillow, July 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The typical home in Paia, HI is worth $1.33M, fell 1.4% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, July 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $1.07M (through May 2026). With 6.5 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 166 days, Paia is a buyer's market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $1.33M home is about $6,839/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Paia, HI

Typical home value

$1.33M

-1.4% in 12 months

Zillow, July 2026

Median sale price

$1.07M

Last published period

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

166

Slow-moving

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

13

6.5 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

6.66%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026

Median household income

$120,735

Home costs 11.0x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

97.7%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures are as of July 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Paia a buyer's or seller's market?

Buyer's market6.5 months of supply166 days on market97.7% of asking

Paia, HI is a buyer's market, based on 6.5 months of supply and homes selling in about 166 days. Above 5 months of supply, homes start accumulating faster than they clear, which is where buyers gain leverage on price, repairs, and closing costs.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Paia housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Paia, HI. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Paia, HI, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$1.07M
Median list price$1.85M
Median price per sq ft$816/sq ft
Median days on market166 days
Active inventory13 listings
Months of supply6.5 months
Sale-to-list price ratio97.7%
Homes sold (that month)2
New listings (that month)3
Listings with a price cut15.4%
Market conditionBuyer's market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Paia is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Paia is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Paia home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Paia, HI rose 40.8%, from $760,000 to $1.07M. The live Zillow value series has fell 1.4% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. 15.4% of Paia listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a modest share, which is what a market looks like when sellers are pricing close to where homes actually clear. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 6.5 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 97.7%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Paia?

Priced off the typical home value of $1.33M at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Paia, HI
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$266,061$1.06M$6,839/mo
5%$66,515$1.26M$8,121/mo

Zillow, July 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $6,839, that implies roughly $293,106 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Paia earns $120,735, about $172,371 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the typical home value to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 11.0x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Paia in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Paia market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Paia?

Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Paia, HI, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.

Is inventory rising or falling in Paia?

Active listings in Paia, HI went from 9 in September 2024 to 13 in May 2026, a +44.4% change. Rising inventory is the single most useful leading indicator for buyers: more choice, longer marketing times, and more sellers willing to negotiate before price cuts show up in the median.

Active listings by month in Paia, HI
MonthActive listingsNew listings
February 2025151
March 2025132
April 2025102
June 2025123
July 2025143
October 2025154
December 2025174
January 2026151
February 2026172
March 2026183
April 2026182
May 2026133

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Paia compare to Hawaii and the U.S.?

Paia homes sell for $1.07M44% above the Hawaii median of $741,300. Against the national median of $410,700, Paia runs 161% higher.

Paia, HI compared with Hawaii and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Paia, HI$1.07Mnot published166 days
Hawaii statewide$741,300-0.3%86 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Paia

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 6.5. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 15.4%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $1,282 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $1.33M home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Paia listing goes under contract in 166 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 97.7% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Paia added 3 new listings against 2 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Your equity moved -1.4% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Paia varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Paia

There are currently 13 homes listed for sale in Paia, Hawaii. The median listing price is $1.9M.

Active listings

13

Homes on market

Median list price

$1.9M

Avg. days on market

166

Days until sale

New this week

3

Newly listed

Price drops:15.4%of listings
Sale-to-list:97.7%

How much do homes cost in Paia by property type?

How the Paia, HI market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Paia, HI
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$1.07M$816/sq ft2166 days
Condo / co-op$670,000$1,175/sq ft195 days

Who lives in Paia?

American Community Survey estimates for Paia. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

2,629

Households

838

Median income

$120,735/yr

Median age

37.5 years

Owner-occupied

60.9%

Median home value

$881,100

Median gross rent

$2,446/mo

Mean commute

33.4 min

60.9% of occupied homes in Paia are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $881,100 against Zillow's $1.33M typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions.

Which public schools serve Paia?

1 schools tracked · 423 students

The largest public schools serving Paia, HI by enrollment, drawn from the National Center for Education Statistics. School quality is a commonly cited factor in home-buying decisions — these are the campuses families in this area are most likely to encounter.

Paia Elementary School

Grades PK-5 · 423 students

Public

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data directory. Updated annually. Ratings and test scores are not currently displayed.

Which cities are near Paia, HI?

Ordered by distance from Paia, not by size. Compare Paia side by side with any of them.

Paia housing market FAQ

Is Paia a buyer's or seller's market?

Paia, HI is currently a buyer's market. That read comes from 6.5 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 166 days, and sellers getting 97.7% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Paia?

The typical home in Paia, HI is worth $1.33M (Zillow Home Value Index, July 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $1.07M, about $816 per square foot.

Is Paia cheaper than the rest of Hawaii?

Paia's median sale price of $1.07M is 44% higher than the Hawaii statewide median of $741,300, and 161% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Paia?

Homes in Paia, HI spent a median of 166 days on market before going under contract, versus 86 days statewide. Over two months means buyers have time to inspect, compare and negotiate. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Paia?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $1.33M home is about $6,839 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $293,106 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $120,735.

Are home prices rising in Paia?

The typical home value in Paia, HI fell 1.4% over the last 12 months, from $1.35M to $1.33M (Zillow, July 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Paia?

Paia ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Paia?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Paia, HI is a buyer's market with 6.5 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.