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Sarah Mitchell

CNESRESABR

Compass Real Estate · Heritage Bay, FL

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Heritage Bay, FL(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Heritage Bay, FL Housing Market

Balanced market-31.4% YoY
Redfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The last median sale price Redfin published was $322,500, -31.4% year over year (through May 2026). With 2.5 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 126 days, Heritage Bay is a balanced market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $322,500 home is about $1,658/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Heritage Bay, FL

Median sale price

$322,500

-31.4% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

126

Slow-moving

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

20

2.5 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

6.66%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026

Median household income

$105,972

Home costs 3.0x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

95.1%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Heritage Bay a buyer's or seller's market?

Balanced market2.5 months of supply126 days on market95.1% of asking

Heritage Bay, FL is a balanced market, based on 2.5 months of supply and homes selling in about 126 days. Under 4 months of supply tilts the market toward sellers: homes clear faster than they are replaced, so concessions are scarce.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Heritage Bay housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Heritage Bay, FL. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Heritage Bay, FL, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$322,500
Median list price$665,000
Year-over-year price change-31.4%
Median price per sq ft$265/sq ft
Median days on market126 days
Active inventory20 listings
Months of supply2.5 months
Sale-to-list price ratio95.1%
Homes sold (that month)8
New listings (that month)5
Listings with a price cut25.0%
Market conditionBalanced market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Heritage Bay is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Heritage Bay is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Heritage Bay home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Heritage Bay, FL fell 43.3%, from $569,000 to $322,500. 25.0% of Heritage Bay listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a modest share, which is what a market looks like when sellers are pricing close to where homes actually clear. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 2.5 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 95.1%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Heritage Bay?

Priced off the median sale price of $322,500 at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Heritage Bay, FL
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$64,500$258,000$1,658/mo
5%$16,125$306,375$1,969/mo

Redfin, through May 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $1,658, that implies roughly $71,056 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Heritage Bay earns $105,972, about $34,916 more than that threshold — the typical local household clears the payment on a typical local home with 20% down. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 3.0x — close to the historical 3x norm, which is unusual in 2026.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Heritage Bay in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Heritage Bay market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Heritage Bay?

Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Heritage Bay, FL, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.

Is inventory rising or falling in Heritage Bay?

Active listings in Heritage Bay, FL went from 31 in May 2025 to 20 in May 2026, a -35.5% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.

Active listings by month in Heritage Bay, FL
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 2025203
July 2025205
August 2025236
September 2025226
October 20253415
November 20253510
December 2025352
January 2026368
February 20263512
March 2026306
April 2026246
May 2026205

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Heritage Bay compare to Florida and the U.S.?

Heritage Bay homes sell for $322,50023% below the Florida median of $421,500. Against the national median of $410,700, Heritage Bay runs 21% lower. Year-over-year, Heritage Bay moved -31.4% against Florida's +2.6%a bigger swing than the state as a whole.

Heritage Bay, FL compared with Florida and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Heritage Bay, FL$322,500-31.4%126 days
Florida statewide$421,500+2.6%66 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Heritage Bay

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 2.5. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 25.0%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $311 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $322,500 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Heritage Bay listing goes under contract in 126 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 95.1% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Heritage Bay added 5 new listings against 8 sales — more clearing than arriving, which is the better window to list.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Heritage Bay varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Heritage Bay

There are currently 20 homes listed for sale in Heritage Bay, Florida. The median listing price is $665K.

Active listings

20

Homes on market

Median list price

$665K

Avg. days on market

126

Days until sale

New this week

5

Newly listed

Price drops:25.0%of listings
Sale-to-list:95.1%

How much do homes cost in Heritage Bay by property type?

How the Heritage Bay, FL market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Heritage Bay, FL
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Condo / co-op$315,000$263/sq ft7151 days

Who lives in Heritage Bay?

American Community Survey estimates for Heritage Bay. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

752

Households

379

Median income

$105,972/yr

Median age

66.7 years

Owner-occupied

90.8%

Median home value

$558,800

Mean commute

34 min

90.8% of occupied homes in Heritage Bay are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market.

Which cities are near Heritage Bay, FL?

Ordered by distance from Heritage Bay, not by size. Compare Heritage Bay side by side with any of them.

Heritage Bay housing market FAQ

Is Heritage Bay a buyer's or seller's market?

Heritage Bay, FL is currently a balanced market. That read comes from 2.5 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 126 days, and sellers getting 95.1% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Heritage Bay?

The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $322,500, about $265 per square foot.

Is Heritage Bay cheaper than the rest of Florida?

Heritage Bay's median sale price of $322,500 is 23% lower than the Florida statewide median of $421,500, and 21% below the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Heritage Bay?

Homes in Heritage Bay, FL spent a median of 126 days on market before going under contract, versus 66 days statewide. Over two months means buyers have time to inspect, compare and negotiate. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Heritage Bay?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $322,500 home is about $1,658 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $71,056 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $105,972.

Are home prices rising in Heritage Bay?

Redfin's last published year-over-year change for Heritage Bay, FL was -31.4%, measured through May 2026. That series is frozen; treat it as a historical reading rather than a current trend.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Heritage Bay?

Heritage Bay ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Heritage Bay?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Heritage Bay, FL is a balanced market with 2.5 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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Get the Heritage Bay, FL market brief

One email: what homes are actually clearing at around $322,500, how long they sit, which ZIPs run cheaper, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.