$399,900
15043 Waterford Chase Pkwy
Alafaya, FL
3 bd2 ba1,552 sqft$258/ft²
House5,663 sqft lot
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Compass Real Estate · Alafaya, FL
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Alafaya, FL Housing Market
Balanced market-0.5% YoY
Redfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 · Refreshes weekly
The last median sale price Redfin published was $465,000, -0.5% year over year (through May 2026). With 3.0 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 44 days, Alafaya is a balanced market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $465,000 home is about $2,391/mo in principal and interest.
Key numbers for Alafaya, FL
Median sale price
$465,000
-0.5% year over year
Redfin, through May 2026
Days on market
44
Average pace
Redfin, through May 2026
Active listings
208
3.0 months of supply
Redfin, through May 2026
30-yr fixed rate
6.66%
Freddie Mac weekly average
Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026
Median household income
$98,289
Home costs 4.7x income
U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Sale-to-list ratio
97.9%
Selling below asking
Redfin, through May 2026
Zillow figures refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.
Is Alafaya a buyer's or seller's market?
Balanced market3.0 months of supply44 days on market97.9% of asking
Alafaya, FL is a balanced market, based on 3.0 months of supply and homes selling in about 44 days. Under 4 months of supply tilts the market toward sellers: homes clear faster than they are replaced, so concessions are scarce.
Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from
What does the Alafaya housing market data show?
Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Alafaya, FL. Redfin, through May 2026
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median sale price | $465,000 |
| Median list price | $483,000 |
| Year-over-year price change | -0.5% |
| Median price per sq ft | $220/sq ft |
| Median days on market | 44 days |
| Active inventory | 208 listings |
| Months of supply | 3.0 months |
| Sale-to-list price ratio | 97.9% |
| Homes sold (that month) | 69 |
| New listings (that month) | 121 |
| Listings with a price cut | 33.7% |
| Market condition | Balanced market |
How to read these numbers
- Median sale price
- Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Alafaya is frozen at May 2026.
- Typical home value (ZHVI)
- Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Alafaya is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
- Months of supply
- How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
- Days on market
- Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
- Sale-to-list ratio
- Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
- Price per square foot
- The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
- Listings with a price cut
- Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
- Typical asking rent (ZORI)
- Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.
How have Alafaya home prices moved?
Over the last three years the median sale price in Alafaya, FL rose 6.9%, from $435,000 to $465,000. 33.7% of Alafaya listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 3.0 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 97.9%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.
Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.
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What does it cost to buy a home in Alafaya?
Priced off the median sale price of $465,000 at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.
| Down payment | Cash at close | Loan amount | Monthly P&I |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | $93,000 | $372,000 | $2,391/mo |
| 5% | $23,250 | $441,750 | $2,839/mo |
Redfin, through May 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate
What income do you need?
Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $2,391, that implies roughly $102,453 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Alafaya earns $98,289, about $4,164 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the median sale price to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 4.7x — above the historical 3x norm but in line with much of the country in 2026.
Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator
Buying in Alafaya in the next 12 months?
Tell us your timeline. We send the Alafaya market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.
Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Alafaya?
Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Alafaya, FL, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.
Is inventory rising or falling in Alafaya?
Active listings in Alafaya, FL went from 216 in May 2025 to 208 in May 2026, a -3.7% change. Inventory has been roughly flat, which usually keeps prices moving with rates rather than with local supply.
| Month | Active listings | New listings |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 218 | 98 |
| July 2025 | 220 | 85 |
| August 2025 | 213 | 72 |
| September 2025 | 193 | 66 |
| October 2025 | 198 | 84 |
| November 2025 | 176 | 53 |
| December 2025 | 144 | 36 |
| January 2026 | 170 | 87 |
| February 2026 | 170 | 75 |
| March 2026 | 161 | 83 |
| April 2026 | 180 | 104 |
| May 2026 | 208 | 121 |
Redfin, through May 2026
How does Alafaya compare to Florida and the U.S.?
Alafaya homes sell for $465,000 — 10% above the Florida median of $421,500. Against the national median of $410,700, Alafaya runs 13% higher. Year-over-year, Alafaya moved -0.5% against Florida's +2.6% — a smaller swing than the state as a whole.
| Market | Median sale price | YoY | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alafaya, FL | $465,000 | -0.5% | 44 days |
| Florida statewide | $421,500 | +2.6% | 66 days |
| United States | $410,700 | not published | not published |
City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)
What to do next in Alafaya
What buyers should watch
- Months of supply, currently 3.0. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
- The share of listings cutting price, currently 33.7%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
- The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $448 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
- Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $465,000 home more than a 5% price change does.
- Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.
What sellers should know
- The median Alafaya listing goes under contract in 44 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
- Homes here close at 97.9% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
- In the last published month Alafaya added 121 new listings against 69 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
- Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Alafaya varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.
Homes for sale in Alafaya
There are currently 208 homes listed for sale in Alafaya, Florida. The median listing price is $483K. Featured listings range from $399,900 to $825,000.
$460,000
14124 Yellow Wood Cir
Alafaya, FL
4 bd2 ba1,913 sqft$240/ft²
House5,227 sqft lot
View photos & details
$475,000
1576 Crosswind Cir
Alafaya, FL
4 bd3 ba2,089 sqft$227/ft²
House7,405 sqft lot
View photos & details
$495,000
10196 Andover Point Cir
Alafaya, FL
3 bd2 ba1,717 sqft$288/ft²
House6,098 sqft lot
View photos & details
$520,000
1207 Royal Saint George Dr
Alafaya, FL
4 bd3 ba2,550 sqft$204/ft²
House5,663 sqft lot
View photos & details
$525,000
14341 Windigo Ln
Alafaya, FL
4 bd2 ba2,209 sqft$238/ft²
House6,534 sqft lot
View photos & details
$540,000
13568 Dornoch Dr
Alafaya, FL
4 bd2 ba2,360 sqft$229/ft²
House13,068 sqft lot
View photos & details
$559,000
520 Tuten Trl
Alafaya, FL
4 bd3 ba2,482 sqft$225/ft²
House4,792 sqft lot
View photos & details
$575,000
10507 Cabbage Tree Loop
Alafaya, FL
5 bd3 ba3,021 sqft$190/ft²
House6,098 sqft lot
View photos & details
$595,000
10870 Inside Loop
Alafaya, FL
5 bd3 ba3,092 sqft$192/ft²
House8,276 sqft lot
View photos & details
$725,000
2264 Stone Cross Cir
Alafaya, FL
5 bd3 ba3,739 sqft$194/ft²
House7,405 sqft lot
View photos & details
$825,000
318 Tudor Spring Ct
Alafaya, FL
4 bd4 ba2,841 sqft$290/ft²
House10,019 sqft lot
View photos & details
Looking to buy in Alafaya?
Get connected with a local real estate expert — free, no obligation.
Active listings
208
Homes on market
Median list price
$483K
Avg. days on market
44
Days until sale
New this week
121
Newly listed
Price drops:33.7%of listings
Sale-to-list:97.9%
How much do homes cost in Alafaya by property type?
How the Alafaya, FL market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026
| Property type | Median price | Price / sq ft | Homes sold | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single-family | $495,000 | $224/sq ft | 56 | 45 days |
| Condo / co-op | $230,000 | $201/sq ft | 5 | 43 days |
| Townhouse | $365,800 | $208/sq ft | 8 | 44 days |
Who lives in Alafaya?
American Community Survey estimates for Alafaya. U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Population
90,874
Households
32,056
Median income
$98,289/yr
Median age
36.6 years
Owner-occupied
65.1%
Median home value
$391,900
Median gross rent
$1,834/mo
Mean commute
31.6 min
65.1% of occupied homes in Alafaya are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market.
Which cities are near Alafaya, FL?
Ordered by distance from Alafaya, not by size. Compare Alafaya side by side with any of them.
Alafaya housing market FAQ
Is Alafaya a buyer's or seller's market?
Alafaya, FL is currently a balanced market. That read comes from 3.0 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 44 days, and sellers getting 97.9% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).
How much do homes cost in Alafaya?
The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $465,000, about $220 per square foot.
Is Alafaya cheaper than the rest of Florida?
Alafaya's median sale price of $465,000 is 10% higher than the Florida statewide median of $421,500, and 13% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.
How long do homes take to sell in Alafaya?
Homes in Alafaya, FL spent a median of 44 days on market before going under contract, versus 66 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)
What income do you need to buy a home in Alafaya?
At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $465,000 home is about $2,391 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $102,453 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $98,289.
Are home prices rising in Alafaya?
Redfin's last published year-over-year change for Alafaya, FL was -0.5%, measured through May 2026. That series is frozen; treat it as a historical reading rather than a current trend.
What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Alafaya?
Alafaya ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.
Is now a good time to buy in Alafaya?
That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Alafaya, FL is a balanced market with 3.0 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.
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