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Sarah Mitchell

CNESRESABR

Compass Real Estate · Carmel Valley Village, CA

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Carmel Valley Village, CA(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Carmel Valley Village, CA Housing Market

Seller's market-8.3% YoY
Redfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The last median sale price Redfin published was $1.65M, -8.3% year over year (through May 2026). With 2.7 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 13 days, Carmel Valley Village is a seller's market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $1.65M home is about $8,483/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Carmel Valley Village, CA

Median sale price

$1.65M

-8.3% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

13

Fast-moving

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

19

2.7 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

6.66%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026

Median household income

$164,167

Home costs 10.1x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

97.1%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Carmel Valley Village a buyer's or seller's market?

Seller's market2.7 months of supply13 days on market97.1% of asking

Carmel Valley Village, CA is a seller's market, based on 2.7 months of supply and homes selling in about 13 days. Under 4 months of supply tilts the market toward sellers: homes clear faster than they are replaced, so concessions are scarce.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Carmel Valley Village housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Carmel Valley Village, CA. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Carmel Valley Village, CA, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$1.65M
Median list price$1.50M
Year-over-year price change-8.3%
Median price per sq ft$850/sq ft
Median days on market13 days
Active inventory19 listings
Months of supply2.7 months
Sale-to-list price ratio97.1%
Homes sold (that month)7
New listings (that month)9
Listings with a price cut36.8%
Market conditionSeller's market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Carmel Valley Village is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Carmel Valley Village is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Carmel Valley Village home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Carmel Valley Village, CA fell 1.5%, from $1.68M to $1.65M. 36.8% of Carmel Valley Village listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 2.7 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 97.1%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Carmel Valley Village?

Priced off the median sale price of $1.65M at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Carmel Valley Village, CA
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$330,000$1.32M$8,483/mo
5%$82,500$1.57M$10,073/mo

Redfin, through May 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $8,483, that implies roughly $363,543 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Carmel Valley Village earns $164,167, about $199,376 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the median sale price to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 10.1x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Carmel Valley Village in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Carmel Valley Village market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Carmel Valley Village?

Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Carmel Valley Village, CA, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.

Is inventory rising or falling in Carmel Valley Village?

Active listings in Carmel Valley Village, CA went from 20 in May 2025 to 19 in May 2026, a -5.0% change. Inventory has been roughly flat, which usually keeps prices moving with rates rather than with local supply.

Active listings by month in Carmel Valley Village, CA
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 20252312
July 2025237
August 2025267
September 2025256
October 2025227
November 2025204
December 202516not published
January 202615not published
February 2026175
March 2026146
April 2026158
May 2026199

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Carmel Valley Village compare to California and the U.S.?

Carmel Valley Village homes sell for $1.65M86% above the California median of $887,400. Against the national median of $410,700, Carmel Valley Village runs 302% higher. Year-over-year, Carmel Valley Village moved -8.3% against California's +3.4%a bigger swing than the state as a whole.

Carmel Valley Village, CA compared with California and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Carmel Valley Village, CA$1.65M-8.3%13 days
California statewide$887,400+3.4%33 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Carmel Valley Village

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 2.7. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 36.8%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $1,591 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $1.65M home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Carmel Valley Village listing goes under contract in 13 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 97.1% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Carmel Valley Village added 9 new listings against 7 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Carmel Valley Village varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Carmel Valley Village

There are currently 19 homes listed for sale in Carmel Valley Village, California. The median listing price is $1.5M.

Active listings

19

Homes on market

Median list price

$1.5M

Avg. days on market

13

Days until sale

New this week

9

Newly listed

Price drops:36.8%of listings
Sale-to-list:97.1%

How much do homes cost in Carmel Valley Village by property type?

How the Carmel Valley Village, CA market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Carmel Valley Village, CA
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$1.65M$850/sq ft713 days
Condo / co-op$1.15M$532/sq ft182 days
Townhouse$900,000$679/sq ft1267 days

Who lives in Carmel Valley Village?

American Community Survey estimates for Carmel Valley Village. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

4,435

Households

1,950

Median income

$164,167/yr

Median age

57.1 years

Owner-occupied

78.9%

Median home value

$1.16M

Median gross rent

$2,223/mo

Mean commute

27 min

78.9% of occupied homes in Carmel Valley Village are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market.

Which cities are near Carmel Valley Village, CA?

Ordered by distance from Carmel Valley Village, not by size. Compare Carmel Valley Village side by side with any of them.

Carmel Valley Village housing market FAQ

Is Carmel Valley Village a buyer's or seller's market?

Carmel Valley Village, CA is currently a seller's market. That read comes from 2.7 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 13 days, and sellers getting 97.1% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Carmel Valley Village?

The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $1.65M, about $850 per square foot.

Is Carmel Valley Village cheaper than the rest of California?

Carmel Valley Village's median sale price of $1.65M is 86% higher than the California statewide median of $887,400, and 302% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Carmel Valley Village?

Homes in Carmel Valley Village, CA spent a median of 13 days on market before going under contract, versus 33 days statewide. Under three weeks means well-priced listings move before most buyers can schedule a second showing. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Carmel Valley Village?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $1.65M home is about $8,483 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $363,543 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $164,167.

Are home prices rising in Carmel Valley Village?

Redfin's last published year-over-year change for Carmel Valley Village, CA was -8.3%, measured through May 2026. That series is frozen; treat it as a historical reading rather than a current trend.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Carmel Valley Village?

Carmel Valley Village ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Carmel Valley Village?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Carmel Valley Village, CA is a seller's market with 2.7 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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One email: what homes are actually clearing at around $1.65M, how long they sit, which ZIPs run cheaper, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.