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Market Analysis

Read the housing market the way analysts do. We break down inventory, months of supply, price trends, and the data signals that tell you where a market is actually heading — not where the headlines say it is.

About this topic

Most housing coverage reports one number — the median sale price — and calls it a market. That number is the least useful thing you can know on its own. A median can rise because homes got more expensive, or because the mix of homes that happened to sell shifted toward larger properties. It tells you nothing about whether a seller would take your offer next month. Market analysis is the work of reading several series together until they agree on a direction.

The articles in this topic teach the metrics that actually carry signal, and the order to read them in. Months of supply — active inventory divided by the monthly sales pace — is the closest thing housing has to a leading indicator, because it measures the balance of buyers and sellers before that balance shows up in price. Days on market tells you how long the average seller has to wait, which is the same thing as telling you how much patience you can afford in a negotiation. Sale-to-list ratio shows whether asking prices are being met, beaten, or cut. New listings tell you what supply is about to look like. Price change is the last number to move, not the first.

We also cover the failure modes: seasonality mistaken for a trend, a single month treated as a turning point, national averages applied to a metro that is moving the opposite way, and automated valuation estimates used as if they were appraisals. Every metric on this site is published with its source and its period, because a number without a date is not evidence. Where a series has stopped refreshing — Redfin's public market trackers stopped publishing in June 2026, so the latest available period is May 2026 — we say so on the page rather than implying the data is current.

What this topic covers

  • What months of supply, days on market, and sale-to-list ratio each measure — and which one moves first
  • How to tell a seasonal swing apart from an actual change in market direction
  • Why a rising median sale price does not always mean homes got more expensive
  • How to check a claim about your market against the underlying source data

62 articles in Market Analysis

Newest first, with the long-form reference guides at the top. Every article carries its published date; where an article was revised, the updated date appears on the article itself.

Analysis

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Related research

Studies are built directly on the database rather than on a single argument, and each one publishes its method and period alongside the result.

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The articles above explain the method. These pages carry the numbers for a specific market, with the source and period on every series.

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