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Sarah Mitchell

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Compass Real Estate · Great Falls, VA

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Great Falls, VA(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
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Great Falls, VA Housing Market

Leaning buyer's-0.4% YoY
Zillow, August 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The typical home in Great Falls, VA is worth $1.69M, held roughly flat 0.4% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $1.73M, +15.8% year over year (through May 2026). With 5.1 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 42 days, Great Falls is a leaning buyer's. At today's 7.03% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $1.69M home is about $9,036/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Great Falls, VA

Typical home value

$1.69M

-0.4% in 12 months

Zillow, August 2026

Typical asking rent

$4,853/mo

Zillow Observed Rent Index

Zillow, August 2026

Median sale price

$1.73M

+15.8% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

42

Average pace

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

66

5.1 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

7.03%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026

Median household income

$250,001

Home costs 6.8x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

97.4%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures are as of August 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Great Falls a buyer's or seller's market?

Leaning buyer's5.1 months of supply42 days on market97.4% of asking

Great Falls, VA is a leaning buyer's, based on 5.1 months of supply and homes selling in about 42 days. Above 5 months of supply, homes start accumulating faster than they clear, which is where buyers gain leverage on price, repairs, and closing costs.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Great Falls housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Great Falls, VA. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Great Falls, VA, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$1.73M
Median list price$2.23M
Year-over-year price change+15.8%
Median price per sq ft$370/sq ft
Median days on market42 days
Active inventory66 listings
Months of supply5.1 months
Sale-to-list price ratio97.4%
Homes sold (that month)13
New listings (that month)33
Listings with a price cut34.8%
Market conditionLeaning buyer's

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Great Falls is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Great Falls is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Great Falls home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Great Falls, VA rose 24.3%, from $1.39M to $1.73M. The live Zillow value series has held roughly flat 0.4% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. 34.8% of Great Falls listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 5.1 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 97.4%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Great Falls?

Priced off the typical home value of $1.69M at the current 7.03% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Great Falls, VA
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$338,534$1.35M$9,036/mo
5%$84,633$1.61M$10,731/mo

Zillow, August 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $9,036, that implies roughly $387,274 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Great Falls earns $250,001, about $137,273 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the typical home value to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 6.8x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Great Falls in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Great Falls market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Great Falls?

Typical asking rent in Great Falls, VA is $4,853/mo, against a typical home value of $1.69M. That is a price-to-rent ratio of 29.1x, which means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Compared head to head, 20% down puts principal and interest at $9,036 a month — $4,183 more than renting before taxes and insurance, so the ownership case here rests on equity and appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

Zillow, August 2026 for both value and rent

Add your own down payment, tax rate and time horizon in the rent vs. buy calculator.

Is inventory rising or falling in Great Falls?

Active listings in Great Falls, VA went from 71 in May 2025 to 66 in May 2026, a -7.0% change. Inventory has been roughly flat, which usually keeps prices moving with rates rather than with local supply.

Active listings by month in Great Falls, VA
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 20255517
July 20254616
August 20254310
September 20255120
October 20255418
November 20254612
December 2025323
January 20263617
February 20263411
March 20263723
April 20265226
May 20266633

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Great Falls compare to Virginia and the U.S.?

Great Falls homes sell for $1.73M — 245% above the Virginia median of $499,300. Against the national median of $410,700, Great Falls runs 320% higher. Year-over-year, Great Falls moved +15.8% against Virginia's +3.9% — a bigger swing than the state as a whole.

Great Falls, VA compared with Virginia and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Great Falls, VA$1.73M+15.8%42 days
Virginia statewide$499,300+3.9%28 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Great Falls

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 5.1. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 34.8%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $1,694 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 7.03%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $1.69M home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Great Falls listing goes under contract in 42 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 97.4% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Great Falls added 33 new listings against 13 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Your equity moved -0.4% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Great Falls varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Great Falls

There are currently 66 homes listed for sale in Great Falls, Virginia. The median listing price is $2.2M.

Active listings

66

Homes on market

Median list price

$2.2M

Avg. days on market

42

Days until sale

New this week

33

Newly listed

Price drops:34.8%of listings
Sale-to-list:97.4%

How much do homes cost in Great Falls by property type?

How the Great Falls, VA market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Great Falls, VA
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$1.73M$370/sq ft1342 days

Who lives in Great Falls?

American Community Survey estimates for Great Falls. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

14,854

Households

4,970

Median income

$250,001/yr

Median age

46.8 years

Owner-occupied

95.4%

Median home value

$1.34M

Median gross rent

$3,463/mo

Mean commute

33 min

95.4% of occupied homes in Great Falls are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $1.34M against Zillow's $1.69M typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions. Census median gross rent (all leases, including long-held ones) is $3,463/mo, below Zillow's $4,853/mo asking rent on new leases — the difference is roughly what a mover pays over a stayer.

Which public schools serve Great Falls?

2 schools tracked · 1,097 students

The largest public schools serving Great Falls, VA by enrollment, drawn from the National Center for Education Statistics. School quality is a commonly cited factor in home-buying decisions — these are the campuses families in this area are most likely to encounter.

Forestville Elementary

Grades PK-6 · 580 students

Public

Great Falls Elementary

Grades PK-6 · 517 students

Public

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data directory. Updated annually. Ratings and test scores are not currently displayed.

Which cities are near Great Falls, VA?

Ordered by distance from Great Falls, not by size. Compare Great Falls side by side with any of them.

Great Falls housing market FAQ

Is Great Falls a buyer's or seller's market?

Great Falls, VA is currently a leaning buyer's. That read comes from 5.1 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 42 days, and sellers getting 97.4% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Great Falls?

The typical home in Great Falls, VA is worth $1.69M (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $1.73M, about $370 per square foot.

Is Great Falls cheaper than the rest of Virginia?

Great Falls's median sale price of $1.73M is 245% higher than the Virginia statewide median of $499,300, and 320% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Great Falls?

Homes in Great Falls, VA spent a median of 42 days on market before going under contract, versus 28 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Great Falls?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 7.03%, 20% down on a $1.69M home is about $9,036 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $387,274 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $250,001.

Are home prices rising in Great Falls?

The typical home value in Great Falls, VA held roughly flat 0.4% over the last 12 months, from $1.70M to $1.69M (Zillow, August 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Great Falls?

Great Falls ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Great Falls?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Great Falls, VA is a leaning buyer's with 5.1 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 7.03%, and the price-to-rent ratio of 29.1x means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.