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Sarah Mitchell

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Compass Real Estate · Tres Arroyos, NM

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Tres Arroyos, NM(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Tres Arroyos, NM Housing Market

Buyer's market-4.7% YoY
Redfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The last median sale price Redfin published was $809,259, -4.7% year over year (through May 2026). With 6.3 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 62 days, Tres Arroyos is a buyer's market. At today's 7.03% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $809,259 home is about $4,320/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Tres Arroyos, NM

Median sale price

$809,259

-4.7% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

62

Slow-moving

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

25

6.3 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

7.03%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026

Median household income

$88,289

Home costs 9.2x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

97.8%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Tres Arroyos a buyer's or seller's market?

Buyer's market6.3 months of supply62 days on market97.8% of asking

Tres Arroyos, NM is a buyer's market, based on 6.3 months of supply and homes selling in about 62 days. Above 5 months of supply, homes start accumulating faster than they clear, which is where buyers gain leverage on price, repairs, and closing costs.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Tres Arroyos housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Tres Arroyos, NM. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Tres Arroyos, NM, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$809,259
Median list price$1.15M
Year-over-year price change-4.7%
Median price per sq ft$512/sq ft
Median days on market62 days
Active inventory25 listings
Months of supply6.3 months
Sale-to-list price ratio97.8%
Homes sold (that month)4
New listings (that month)11
Listings with a price cut28.0%
Market conditionBuyer's market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Tres Arroyos is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Tres Arroyos is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Tres Arroyos home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Tres Arroyos, NM fell 19.5%, from $1.00M to $809,259. 28.0% of Tres Arroyos listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 6.3 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 97.8%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Tres Arroyos?

Priced off the median sale price of $809,259 at the current 7.03% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Tres Arroyos, NM
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$161,852$647,407$4,320/mo
5%$40,463$768,796$5,130/mo

Redfin, through May 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $4,320, that implies roughly $185,154 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Tres Arroyos earns $88,289, about $96,865 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the median sale price to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 9.2x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Tres Arroyos in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Tres Arroyos market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Tres Arroyos?

Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Tres Arroyos, NM, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.

Is inventory rising or falling in Tres Arroyos?

Active listings in Tres Arroyos, NM went from 18 in May 2025 to 25 in May 2026, a +38.9% change. Rising inventory is the single most useful leading indicator for buyers: more choice, longer marketing times, and more sellers willing to negotiate before price cuts show up in the median.

Active listings by month in Tres Arroyos, NM
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 2025143
July 2025177
August 2025205
September 2025225
October 2025203
November 2025192
December 2025153
January 2026174
February 2026165
March 2026144
April 20262311
May 20262511

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Tres Arroyos compare to New Mexico and the U.S.?

Tres Arroyos homes sell for $809,259 — 105% above the New Mexico median of $395,500. Against the national median of $410,700, Tres Arroyos runs 97% higher. Year-over-year, Tres Arroyos moved -4.7% against New Mexico's +10.8% — a smaller swing than the state as a whole.

Tres Arroyos, NM compared with New Mexico and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Tres Arroyos, NM$809,259-4.7%62 days
New Mexico statewide$395,500+10.8%53 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Tres Arroyos

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 6.3. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 28.0%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $810 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 7.03%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $809,259 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Tres Arroyos listing goes under contract in 62 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 97.8% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Tres Arroyos added 11 new listings against 4 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Tres Arroyos varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Tres Arroyos

There are currently 25 homes listed for sale in Tres Arroyos, New Mexico. The median listing price is $1.1M.

Active listings

25

Homes on market

Median list price

$1.1M

Avg. days on market

62

Days until sale

New this week

11

Newly listed

Price drops:28.0%of listings
Sale-to-list:97.8%

How much do homes cost in Tres Arroyos by property type?

How the Tres Arroyos, NM market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Tres Arroyos, NM
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$809,259$512/sq ft462 days
Townhouse$799,500$353/sq ft1140 days

Who lives in Tres Arroyos?

American Community Survey estimates for Tres Arroyos. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

1,870

Households

1,022

Median income

$88,289/yr

Median age

64.8 years

Owner-occupied

88.5%

Median home value

$702,100

Mean commute

31.5 min

88.5% of occupied homes in Tres Arroyos are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market.

Which cities are near Tres Arroyos, NM?

Ordered by distance from Tres Arroyos, not by size. Compare Tres Arroyos side by side with any of them.

Tres Arroyos housing market FAQ

Is Tres Arroyos a buyer's or seller's market?

Tres Arroyos, NM is currently a buyer's market. That read comes from 6.3 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 62 days, and sellers getting 97.8% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Tres Arroyos?

The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $809,259, about $512 per square foot.

Is Tres Arroyos cheaper than the rest of New Mexico?

Tres Arroyos's median sale price of $809,259 is 105% higher than the New Mexico statewide median of $395,500, and 97% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Tres Arroyos?

Homes in Tres Arroyos, NM spent a median of 62 days on market before going under contract, versus 53 days statewide. Over two months means buyers have time to inspect, compare and negotiate. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Tres Arroyos?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 7.03%, 20% down on a $809,259 home is about $4,320 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $185,154 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $88,289.

Are home prices rising in Tres Arroyos?

Redfin's last published year-over-year change for Tres Arroyos, NM was -4.7%, measured through May 2026. That series is frozen; treat it as a historical reading rather than a current trend.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Tres Arroyos?

Tres Arroyos ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Tres Arroyos?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Tres Arroyos, NM is a buyer's market with 6.3 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 7.03%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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One email: what homes are actually clearing at around $809,259, how long they sit, which ZIPs run cheaper, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.