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Sarah Mitchell

CNESRESABR

Compass Real Estate · Prior Lake, MN

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Prior Lake, MN(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Prior Lake, MN Housing Market

Seller's market+1.1% YoY
Zillow, August 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through May 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The typical home in Prior Lake, MN is worth $530,206, rose 1.1% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $518,500, +3.7% year over year (through May 2026). With 1.5 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 30 days, Prior Lake is a seller's market. At today's 7.03% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $530,206 home is about $2,831/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Prior Lake, MN

Typical home value

$530,206

+1.1% in 12 months

Zillow, August 2026

Typical asking rent

$2,011/mo

Zillow Observed Rent Index

Zillow, August 2026

Median sale price

$518,500

+3.7% year over year

Redfin, through May 2026

Days on market

30

Average pace

Redfin, through May 2026

Active listings

76

1.5 months of supply

Redfin, through May 2026

30-yr fixed rate

7.03%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026

Median household income

$130,278

Home costs 4.1x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

98.7%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through May 2026

Zillow figures are as of August 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Prior Lake a buyer's or seller's market?

Seller's market1.5 months of supply30 days on market98.7% of asking

Prior Lake, MN is a seller's market, based on 1.5 months of supply and homes selling in about 30 days. Under 2 months of supply is a severe shortage: expect competition on almost anything priced correctly, and little room to negotiate below asking.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Prior Lake housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Prior Lake, MN. Redfin, through May 2026

Housing market statistics for Prior Lake, MN, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$518,500
Median list price$599,800
Year-over-year price change+3.7%
Median price per sq ft$201/sq ft
Median days on market30 days
Active inventory76 listings
Months of supply1.5 months
Sale-to-list price ratio98.7%
Homes sold (that month)50
New listings (that month)57
Listings with a price cut42.1%
Market conditionSeller's market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Prior Lake is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Prior Lake is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Prior Lake home prices moved?

Over the last three years the median sale price in Prior Lake, MN rose 3.7%, from $500,000 to $518,500. The live Zillow value series has rose 1.1% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. 42.1% of Prior Lake listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 1.5 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 98.7%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Prior Lake?

Priced off the typical home value of $530,206 at the current 7.03% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Prior Lake, MN
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$106,041$424,164$2,831/mo
5%$26,510$503,695$3,361/mo

Zillow, August 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, September 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $2,831, that implies roughly $121,308 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Prior Lake earns $130,278, about $8,970 more than that threshold — the typical local household clears the payment on a typical local home with 20% down. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 4.1x — above the historical 3x norm but in line with much of the country in 2026.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Prior Lake in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Prior Lake market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Prior Lake?

Typical asking rent in Prior Lake, MN is $2,011/mo, against a typical home value of $530,206. That is a price-to-rent ratio of 22.0x, which means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Compared head to head, 20% down puts principal and interest at $2,831 a month — $820 more than renting before taxes and insurance, so the ownership case here rests on equity and appreciation rather than monthly cash flow.

Zillow, August 2026 for both value and rent

Add your own down payment, tax rate and time horizon in the rent vs. buy calculator.

Is inventory rising or falling in Prior Lake?

Active listings in Prior Lake, MN went from 88 in May 2025 to 76 in May 2026, a -13.6% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.

Active listings by month in Prior Lake, MN
MonthActive listingsNew listings
June 20259350
July 20258848
August 20259851
September 202510952
October 202510335
November 20259324
December 2025627
January 20265621
February 20267039
March 20268153
April 20267951
May 20267657

Redfin, through May 2026

How does Prior Lake compare to Minnesota and the U.S.?

Prior Lake homes sell for $518,500 — 39% above the Minnesota median of $372,300. Against the national median of $410,700, Prior Lake runs 26% higher. Year-over-year, Prior Lake moved +3.7% against Minnesota's +1.3% — a bigger swing than the state as a whole.

Prior Lake, MN compared with Minnesota and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Prior Lake, MN$518,500+3.7%30 days
Minnesota statewide$372,300+1.3%25 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Prior Lake

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 1.5. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The share of listings cutting price, currently 42.1%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $531 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 7.03%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $530,206 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Prior Lake listing goes under contract in 30 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 98.7% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Prior Lake added 57 new listings against 50 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
  • Your equity moved +1.1% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Prior Lake varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Prior Lake

There are currently 76 homes listed for sale in Prior Lake, Minnesota. The median listing price is $600K.

Active listings

76

Homes on market

Median list price

$600K

Avg. days on market

30

Days until sale

New this week

57

Newly listed

Price drops:42.1%of listings
Sale-to-list:98.7%

How much do homes cost in Prior Lake by property type?

How the Prior Lake, MN market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Prior Lake, MN
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$581,000$219/sq ft3430 days
Condo / co-op$197,500$214/sq ft2193 days
Townhouse$367,500$182/sq ft1426 days

Who lives in Prior Lake?

American Community Survey estimates for Prior Lake. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

27,832

Households

10,118

Median income

$130,278/yr

Median age

39.7 years

Owner-occupied

85.6%

Median home value

$429,900

Median gross rent

$1,548/mo

Mean commute

24.7 min

85.6% of occupied homes in Prior Lake are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $429,900 against Zillow's $530,206 typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions. Census median gross rent (all leases, including long-held ones) is $1,548/mo, below Zillow's $2,011/mo asking rent on new leases — the difference is roughly what a mover pays over a stayer.

Which public schools serve Prior Lake?

10 schools tracked · 4,235 students

The largest public schools serving Prior Lake, MN by enrollment, drawn from the National Center for Education Statistics. School quality is a commonly cited factor in home-buying decisions — these are the campuses families in this area are most likely to encounter.

Prior Lake-Savage Middle School

Grades 6-8 · 1,996 students

Public

JEFFERS POND ELEMENTARY

Grades K-5 · 504 students

Public

WestWood Elementary

Grades K-5 · 492 students

Public

Five Hawks Elementary

Grades K-5 · 477 students

Public

La Ola Del Lago at Grainwood

Grades K-5 · 471 students

Public

Edgewood ECSE

Grades PK · 149 students

Special ed

PRIOR LAKE-SAVAGE AREA ALC

Grades 9-12 · 93 students

Alternative

Laker Online

Grades 6-12 · 45 students

Public

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data directory. Updated annually. Ratings and test scores are not currently displayed.

Which cities are near Prior Lake, MN?

Ordered by distance from Prior Lake, not by size. Compare Prior Lake side by side with any of them.

Prior Lake housing market FAQ

Is Prior Lake a buyer's or seller's market?

Prior Lake, MN is currently a seller's market. That read comes from 1.5 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 30 days, and sellers getting 98.7% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Prior Lake?

The typical home in Prior Lake, MN is worth $530,206 (Zillow Home Value Index, August 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $518,500, about $201 per square foot.

Is Prior Lake cheaper than the rest of Minnesota?

Prior Lake's median sale price of $518,500 is 39% higher than the Minnesota statewide median of $372,300, and 26% above the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Prior Lake?

Homes in Prior Lake, MN spent a median of 30 days on market before going under contract, versus 25 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Prior Lake?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 7.03%, 20% down on a $530,206 home is about $2,831 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $121,308 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $130,278.

Are home prices rising in Prior Lake?

The typical home value in Prior Lake, MN rose 1.1% over the last 12 months, from $524,693 to $530,206 (Zillow, August 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Prior Lake?

Prior Lake ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Prior Lake?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Prior Lake, MN is a seller's market with 1.5 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 7.03%, and the price-to-rent ratio of 22.0x means renting tends to be the cheaper monthly option unless you stay long enough for appreciation to close the gap. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.