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Featured local agent — Upper Grand Lagoon, FL
Sarah Mitchell
Compass Real Estate · Upper Grand Lagoon, FL
“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”
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Upper Grand Lagoon, FL Housing Market
The last median sale price Redfin published was $385,000, -20.6% year over year (through May 2026). With 8.7 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 60 days, Upper Grand Lagoon is a buyer's market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $385,000 home is about $1,979/mo in principal and interest.
Key numbers for Upper Grand Lagoon, FL
Median sale price
$385,000
-20.6% year over year
Redfin, through May 2026
Days on market
60
Average pace
Redfin, through May 2026
Active listings
260
8.7 months of supply
Redfin, through May 2026
30-yr fixed rate
6.66%
Freddie Mac weekly average
Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026
Median household income
$73,438
Home costs 5.2x income
U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Sale-to-list ratio
94.6%
Selling below asking
Redfin, through May 2026
Zillow figures refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.
Is Upper Grand Lagoon a buyer's or seller's market?
Upper Grand Lagoon, FL is a buyer's market, based on 8.7 months of supply and homes selling in about 60 days. Above 7 months of supply is a glut: inventory is well ahead of the sales pace, and buyers can take time to inspect, compare, and negotiate concessions.
Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from
What does the Upper Grand Lagoon housing market data show?
Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Upper Grand Lagoon, FL. Redfin, through May 2026
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median sale price | $385,000 |
| Median list price | $449,900 |
| Year-over-year price change | -20.6% |
| Median price per sq ft | $213/sq ft |
| Median days on market | 60 days |
| Active inventory | 260 listings |
| Months of supply | 8.7 months |
| Sale-to-list price ratio | 94.6% |
| Homes sold (that month) | 30 |
| New listings (that month) | 57 |
| Listings with a price cut | 32.3% |
| Market condition | Buyer's market |
How to read these numbers
- Median sale price
- Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Upper Grand Lagoon is frozen at May 2026.
- Typical home value (ZHVI)
- Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Upper Grand Lagoon is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
- Months of supply
- How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
- Days on market
- Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
- Sale-to-list ratio
- Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
- Price per square foot
- The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
- Listings with a price cut
- Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
- Typical asking rent (ZORI)
- Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.
How have Upper Grand Lagoon home prices moved?
Over the last three years the median sale price in Upper Grand Lagoon, FL fell 1.2%, from $389,500 to $385,000. 32.3% of Upper Grand Lagoon listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 8.7 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 94.6%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.
Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.
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What does it cost to buy a home in Upper Grand Lagoon?
Priced off the median sale price of $385,000 at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.
| Down payment | Cash at close | Loan amount | Monthly P&I |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | $77,000 | $308,000 | $1,979/mo |
| 5% | $19,250 | $365,750 | $2,350/mo |
Redfin, through May 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate
What income do you need?
Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $1,979, that implies roughly $84,827 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Upper Grand Lagoon earns $73,438, about $11,389 short of that threshold — the typical local household needs a larger down payment, a co-borrower, or a home below the median sale price to fit the 28% rule. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 5.2x — well above the 3x that was historically considered affordable, which is why down payment size drives who can buy here.
Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator
Buying in Upper Grand Lagoon in the next 12 months?
Tell us your timeline. We send the Upper Grand Lagoon market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.
Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Upper Grand Lagoon?
Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Upper Grand Lagoon, FL, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.
Is inventory rising or falling in Upper Grand Lagoon?
Active listings in Upper Grand Lagoon, FL went from 288 in May 2025 to 260 in May 2026, a -9.7% change. Inventory has been roughly flat, which usually keeps prices moving with rates rather than with local supply.
| Month | Active listings | New listings |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 283 | 56 |
| July 2025 | 280 | 44 |
| August 2025 | 250 | 33 |
| September 2025 | 259 | 55 |
| October 2025 | 256 | 40 |
| November 2025 | 247 | 44 |
| December 2025 | 218 | 30 |
| January 2026 | 235 | 53 |
| February 2026 | 253 | 63 |
| March 2026 | 270 | 68 |
| April 2026 | 262 | 53 |
| May 2026 | 260 | 57 |
Redfin, through May 2026
How does Upper Grand Lagoon compare to Florida and the U.S.?
Upper Grand Lagoon homes sell for $385,000 — 9% below the Florida median of $421,500. Against the national median of $410,700, Upper Grand Lagoon runs 6% lower. Year-over-year, Upper Grand Lagoon moved -20.6% against Florida's +2.6% — a bigger swing than the state as a whole.
| Market | Median sale price | YoY | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Grand Lagoon, FL | $385,000 | -20.6% | 60 days |
| Florida statewide | $421,500 | +2.6% | 66 days |
| United States | $410,700 | not published | not published |
City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)
What to do next in Upper Grand Lagoon
What buyers should watch
- Months of supply, currently 8.7. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
- The share of listings cutting price, currently 32.3%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
- The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $371 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
- Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $385,000 home more than a 5% price change does.
- Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.
What sellers should know
- The median Upper Grand Lagoon listing goes under contract in 60 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
- Homes here close at 94.6% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
- In the last published month Upper Grand Lagoon added 57 new listings against 30 sales — more competition arriving than clearing, so early timing matters.
- Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Upper Grand Lagoon varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.
Homes for sale in Upper Grand Lagoon
There are currently 260 homes listed for sale in Upper Grand Lagoon, Florida. The median listing price is $450K.
Active listings
260
Homes on market
Median list price
$450K
Avg. days on market
60
Days until sale
New this week
57
Newly listed
How much do homes cost in Upper Grand Lagoon by property type?
How the Upper Grand Lagoon, FL market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026
| Property type | Median price | Price / sq ft | Homes sold | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single-family | $420,000 | $213/sq ft | 15 | 53 days |
| Condo / co-op | $377,500 | $263/sq ft | 10 | 64 days |
| Townhouse | $278,250 | $170/sq ft | 4 | 114 days |
Who lives in Upper Grand Lagoon?
American Community Survey estimates for Upper Grand Lagoon. U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Population
17,162
Households
7,757
Median income
$73,438/yr
Median age
45.8 years
Owner-occupied
68.7%
Median home value
$351,400
Median gross rent
$1,570/mo
Mean commute
20.6 min
68.7% of occupied homes in Upper Grand Lagoon are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market.
Which cities are near Upper Grand Lagoon, FL?
Ordered by distance from Upper Grand Lagoon, not by size. Compare Upper Grand Lagoon side by side with any of them.
Upper Grand Lagoon housing market FAQ
Is Upper Grand Lagoon a buyer's or seller's market?
Upper Grand Lagoon, FL is currently a buyer's market. That read comes from 8.7 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 60 days, and sellers getting 94.6% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).
How much do homes cost in Upper Grand Lagoon?
The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $385,000, about $213 per square foot.
Is Upper Grand Lagoon cheaper than the rest of Florida?
Upper Grand Lagoon's median sale price of $385,000 is 9% lower than the Florida statewide median of $421,500, and 6% below the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.
How long do homes take to sell in Upper Grand Lagoon?
Homes in Upper Grand Lagoon, FL spent a median of 60 days on market before going under contract, versus 66 days statewide. That is a normal pace: enough time to see a home twice, not enough to wait a month. (Redfin, through May 2026.)
What income do you need to buy a home in Upper Grand Lagoon?
At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $385,000 home is about $1,979 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $84,827 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $73,438.
Are home prices rising in Upper Grand Lagoon?
Redfin's last published year-over-year change for Upper Grand Lagoon, FL was -20.6%, measured through May 2026. That series is frozen; treat it as a historical reading rather than a current trend.
What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Upper Grand Lagoon?
Upper Grand Lagoon ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.
Is now a good time to buy in Upper Grand Lagoon?
That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Upper Grand Lagoon, FL is a buyer's market with 8.7 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.
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One email: what homes are actually clearing at around $385,000, how long they sit, which ZIPs run cheaper, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.