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Sarah Mitchell

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Compass Real Estate · Horseshoe Lake, AR

“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”

Horseshoe Lake, AR(512) 555-0184TX License #0512847
Visit website →sarahmitchellhomes.com
5.0 · 47 reviews

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Horseshoe Lake, AR Housing Market

Balanced market+9.4% YoY
Zillow, July 2026 · Refreshes monthlyRedfin, through March 2026 · No longer updatingFreddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 · Refreshes weekly

The typical home in Horseshoe Lake, AR is worth $140,488, rose 9.4% over the past year (Zillow Home Value Index, July 2026). The last median sale price Redfin published was $81,250 (through May 2026). With 1.0 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 99 days, Horseshoe Lake is a balanced market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $140,488 home is about $722/mo in principal and interest.

Key numbers for Horseshoe Lake, AR

Typical home value

$140,488

+9.4% in 12 months

Zillow, July 2026

Median sale price

$81,250

Last published period

Redfin, through March 2026

Days on market

99

Slow-moving

Redfin, through March 2026

Active listings

2

1.0 months of supply

Redfin, through March 2026

30-yr fixed rate

6.66%

Freddie Mac weekly average

Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026

Median household income

$58,750

Home costs 2.4x income

U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Sale-to-list ratio

74.3%

Selling below asking

Redfin, through March 2026

Zillow figures are as of July 2026 and refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.

Is Horseshoe Lake a buyer's or seller's market?

Balanced market1.0 months of supply99 days on market74.3% of asking

Horseshoe Lake, AR is a balanced market, based on 1.0 months of supply and homes selling in about 99 days. Under 2 months of supply is a severe shortage: expect competition on almost anything priced correctly, and little room to negotiate below asking.

Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from

What does the Horseshoe Lake housing market data show?

Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Horseshoe Lake, AR. Redfin, through March 2026

Housing market statistics for Horseshoe Lake, AR, Redfin through May 2026
MetricValue
Median sale price$81,250
Median list price$199,900
Median price per sq ft$82/sq ft
Median days on market99 days
Active inventory2 listings
Months of supply1.0 months
Sale-to-list price ratio74.3%
Homes sold (that month)2
New listings (that month)1
Market conditionBalanced market

How to read these numbers

Median sale price
Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Horseshoe Lake is frozen at May 2026.
Typical home value (ZHVI)
Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Horseshoe Lake is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
Months of supply
How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
Days on market
Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
Sale-to-list ratio
Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
Price per square foot
The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
Listings with a price cut
Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
Typical asking rent (ZORI)
Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.

How have Horseshoe Lake home prices moved?

Across the 24 months we hold for Horseshoe Lake, AR, the median sale price rose 171.1%, from $29,972 in May 2021 to $81,250. The live Zillow value series has rose 9.4% in the last 12 months, which is the more current read now that Redfin's series has stopped. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 1.0 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 74.3%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.

Redfin, through March 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.

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What does it cost to buy a home in Horseshoe Lake?

Priced off the typical home value of $140,488 at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.

Monthly principal and interest by down payment in Horseshoe Lake, AR
Down paymentCash at closeLoan amountMonthly P&I
20%$28,098$112,390$722/mo
5%$7,024$133,464$858/mo

Zillow, July 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate

What income do you need?

Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $722, that implies roughly $30,954 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Horseshoe Lake earns $58,750, about $27,796 more than that threshold — the typical local household clears the payment on a typical local home with 20% down. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 2.4x — close to the historical 3x norm, which is unusual in 2026.

Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator

Buying in Horseshoe Lake in the next 12 months?

Tell us your timeline. We send the Horseshoe Lake market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.

Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Horseshoe Lake?

Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Horseshoe Lake, AR, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.

Is inventory rising or falling in Horseshoe Lake?

Active listings in Horseshoe Lake, AR went from 3 in June 2022 to 2 in March 2026, a -33.3% change. Falling inventory tightens competition. When supply drops while demand holds, sale-to-list ratios rise before the median sale price does.

Active listings by month in Horseshoe Lake, AR
MonthActive listingsNew listings
July 20221not published
April 20232not published
April 202442
June 20243not published
July 20243not published
September 202421
October 20242not published
April 20251not published
August 202531
September 202531
October 20253not published
March 202621

Redfin, through March 2026

How does Horseshoe Lake compare to Arkansas and the U.S.?

Horseshoe Lake homes sell for $81,25071% below the Arkansas median of $275,500. Against the national median of $410,700, Horseshoe Lake runs 80% lower.

Horseshoe Lake, AR compared with Arkansas and the United States
MarketMedian sale priceYoYDays on market
Horseshoe Lake, AR$81,250not published99 days
Arkansas statewide$275,500+3.1%53 days
United States$410,700not publishednot published

City and state rows: Redfin, through March 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)

What to do next in Horseshoe Lake

What buyers should watch

  • Months of supply, currently 1.0. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
  • The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $135 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
  • Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $140,488 home more than a 5% price change does.
  • Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.

What sellers should know

  • The median Horseshoe Lake listing goes under contract in 99 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
  • Homes here close at 74.3% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
  • In the last published month Horseshoe Lake added 1 new listings against 2 sales — more clearing than arriving, which is the better window to list.
  • Your equity moved +9.4% in the last 12 months on the Zillow value series. That, not the price you paid, is what sets your net proceeds.
  • Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Horseshoe Lake varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.

Homes for sale in Horseshoe Lake

There are currently 2 homes listed for sale in Horseshoe Lake, Arkansas. The median listing price is $200K.

Active listings

2

Homes on market

Median list price

$200K

Avg. days on market

99

Days until sale

New this week

1

Newly listed

Sale-to-list:74.3%

How much do homes cost in Horseshoe Lake by property type?

How the Horseshoe Lake, AR market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through March 2026

Median price, price per square foot, homes sold and days on market by property type in Horseshoe Lake, AR
Property typeMedian pricePrice / sq ftHomes soldDays on market
Single-family$81,250$82/sq ft299 days

Who lives in Horseshoe Lake?

American Community Survey estimates for Horseshoe Lake. U.S. Census ACS, 2023

Population

396

Households

217

Median income

$58,750/yr

Median age

59.4 years

Owner-occupied

82.9%

Median home value

$93,500

Median gross rent

$821/mo

Mean commute

45.4 min

82.9% of occupied homes in Horseshoe Lake are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market. The Census self-reported median home value is $93,500 against Zillow's $140,488 typical value; the gap is normal — ACS asks owners what they think their home is worth, Zillow models transactions.

Which cities are near Horseshoe Lake, AR?

Ordered by distance from Horseshoe Lake, not by size. Compare Horseshoe Lake side by side with any of them.

Horseshoe Lake housing market FAQ

Is Horseshoe Lake a buyer's or seller's market?

Horseshoe Lake, AR is currently a balanced market. That read comes from 1.0 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 99 days, and sellers getting 74.3% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).

How much do homes cost in Horseshoe Lake?

The typical home in Horseshoe Lake, AR is worth $140,488 (Zillow Home Value Index, July 2026). The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $81,250, about $82 per square foot.

Is Horseshoe Lake cheaper than the rest of Arkansas?

Horseshoe Lake's median sale price of $81,250 is 71% lower than the Arkansas statewide median of $275,500, and 80% below the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.

How long do homes take to sell in Horseshoe Lake?

Homes in Horseshoe Lake, AR spent a median of 99 days on market before going under contract, versus 53 days statewide. Over two months means buyers have time to inspect, compare and negotiate. (Redfin, through May 2026.)

What income do you need to buy a home in Horseshoe Lake?

At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $140,488 home is about $722 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $30,954 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $58,750.

Are home prices rising in Horseshoe Lake?

The typical home value in Horseshoe Lake, AR rose 9.4% over the last 12 months, from $128,470 to $140,488 (Zillow, July 2026). This is the live series — it refreshes monthly.

What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Horseshoe Lake?

Horseshoe Lake ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.

Is now a good time to buy in Horseshoe Lake?

That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Horseshoe Lake, AR is a balanced market with 1.0 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.

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One email: what homes are actually clearing at around $140,488, how long they sit, which ZIPs run cheaper, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.

No spam, no reselling your details. Market data on this site is informational and is not financial, investment, or real estate advice.