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Featured local agent — Arivaca Junction, AZ
Sarah Mitchell
Compass Real Estate · Arivaca Junction, AZ
“Your trusted relocation specialist since 2009. 350+ homes sold. Zero-pressure, data-first approach.”
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Arivaca Junction, AZ Housing Market
The last median sale price Redfin published was $130,000, -46.9% year over year (through May 2026). With 3.0 months of supply and homes going under contract in about 9 days, Arivaca Junction is a balanced market. At today's 6.66% 30-year fixed rate, 20% down on a $130,000 home is about $668/mo in principal and interest.
Key numbers for Arivaca Junction, AZ
Median sale price
$130,000
-46.9% year over year
Redfin, through May 2026
Days on market
9
Fast-moving
Redfin, through May 2026
Active listings
3
3.0 months of supply
Redfin, through May 2026
30-yr fixed rate
6.66%
Freddie Mac weekly average
Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026
Median household income
$66,250
Home costs 2.0x income
U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Sale-to-list ratio
86.7%
Selling below asking
Redfin, through May 2026
Zillow figures refresh monthly. Redfin figures are through May 2026 — Redfin stopped publishing its public market trackers in June 2026, so those numbers are final, not current. Mortgage rates come from Freddie Mac via FRED and update weekly.
Is Arivaca Junction a buyer's or seller's market?
Arivaca Junction, AZ is a balanced market, based on 3.0 months of supply and homes selling in about 9 days. Under 4 months of supply tilts the market toward sellers: homes clear faster than they are replaced, so concessions are scarce.
Inputs are Redfin's final published period (May 2026). How we classify markets · Where the data comes from
What does the Arivaca Junction housing market data show?
Every row below is Redfin's final published month for Arivaca Junction, AZ. Redfin, through May 2026
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median sale price | $130,000 |
| Median list price | $150,000 |
| Year-over-year price change | -46.9% |
| Median price per sq ft | $125/sq ft |
| Median days on market | 9 days |
| Active inventory | 3 listings |
| Months of supply | 3.0 months |
| Sale-to-list price ratio | 86.7% |
| Homes sold (that month) | 1 |
| New listings (that month) | 1 |
| Listings with a price cut | 33.3% |
| Market condition | Balanced market |
How to read these numbers
- Median sale price
- Half the homes that closed sold for more than this, half for less. It moves with what kind of home sold that month, so a quiet month with two big sales can swing it. Redfin's figure for Arivaca Junction is frozen at May 2026.
- Typical home value (ZHVI)
- Zillow's estimate of what a mid-market home in Arivaca Junction is worth right now, whether or not it sold. It is smoother than the median sale price and it still refreshes monthly, which is why this page leads with it.
- Months of supply
- How long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace. Under 3 favors sellers, over 6 favors buyers, and 3 to 6 is the balanced band.
- Days on market
- Median time from listing to accepted offer. Short means you should have financing ready before you tour; long means there is room to negotiate on price and repairs.
- Sale-to-list ratio
- Sale price divided by the last asking price. Above 100% means bidding above asking is normal here; below 100% means the typical buyer got a discount.
- Price per square foot
- The size-adjusted price. Use it to compare a 1,400 sq ft house to a 2,600 sq ft house, not to value your own home — lot, condition and age move it a lot.
- Listings with a price cut
- Share of active listings that dropped their asking price in the month. A high share is the earliest visible sign that sellers are ahead of what buyers will pay.
- Typical asking rent (ZORI)
- Zillow's repeat-rent index for asking rents on new leases. Paired with the home value it gives the price-to-rent ratio in the rent-vs-buy section below.
How have Arivaca Junction home prices moved?
Across the 32 months we hold for Arivaca Junction, AZ, the median sale price fell 16.7%, from $156,000 in April 2021 to $130,000. 33.3% of Arivaca Junction listings cut their asking price in the final Redfin month — a high share, and the clearest sign that list prices were running ahead of what buyers would pay. For prices to fall meaningfully from here, supply would have to keep building past 3.0 months while the sale-to-list ratio slips below its current 86.7%. Watch those two together — they move before the median does.
Redfin, through May 2026 — the chart ends at Redfin's final published month.
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What does it cost to buy a home in Arivaca Junction?
Priced off the median sale price of $130,000 at the current 6.66% 30-year fixed rate. These are principal and interest only — property taxes, homeowner's insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance are on top, and they vary enough by property that we will not guess them for you.
| Down payment | Cash at close | Loan amount | Monthly P&I |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | $26,000 | $104,000 | $668/mo |
| 5% | $6,500 | $123,500 | $794/mo |
Redfin, through May 2026 for the price · Freddie Mac via FRED, August 2026 for the rate
What income do you need?
Lenders generally want housing costs under 28% of gross income. On the 20%-down payment of $668, that implies roughly $28,643 a year before you add taxes and insurance. The median household in Arivaca Junction earns $66,250, about $37,607 more than that threshold — the typical local household clears the payment on a typical local home with 20% down. That puts the price-to-income ratio at 2.0x — close to the historical 3x norm, which is unusual in 2026.
Run it with your own numbers: affordability calculator · mortgage calculator
Buying in Arivaca Junction in the next 12 months?
Tell us your timeline. We send the Arivaca Junction market brief: the price ranges that actually clear, how long homes sit, and what to fix on your credit before you apply.
Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Arivaca Junction?
Zillow does not publish a rent index (ZORI) for Arivaca Junction, AZ, so we cannot compute a price-to-rent ratio here without borrowing a nearby market's rents and calling them local — which we will not do. The rent vs. buy calculator works with a rent figure you supply.
Is inventory rising or falling in Arivaca Junction?
Active listings in Arivaca Junction, AZ went from 3 in November 2023 to 3 in May 2026, a +0.0% change. Inventory has been roughly flat, which usually keeps prices moving with rates rather than with local supply.
| Month | Active listings | New listings |
|---|---|---|
| January 2024 | 3 | 1 |
| February 2024 | 1 | 1 |
| March 2024 | 1 | 1 |
| April 2024 | 1 | 1 |
| July 2024 | 4 | 2 |
| October 2024 | 3 | not published |
| November 2024 | 3 | 1 |
| April 2025 | 3 | 2 |
| May 2025 | 2 | 1 |
| June 2025 | 1 | not published |
| April 2026 | 3 | 1 |
| May 2026 | 3 | 1 |
Redfin, through May 2026
How does Arivaca Junction compare to Arizona and the U.S.?
Arivaca Junction homes sell for $130,000 — 71% below the Arizona median of $453,800. Against the national median of $410,700, Arivaca Junction runs 68% lower. Year-over-year, Arivaca Junction moved -46.9% against Arizona's +0.5% — a bigger swing than the state as a whole.
| Market | Median sale price | YoY | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arivaca Junction, AZ | $130,000 | -46.9% | 9 days |
| Arizona statewide | $453,800 | +0.5% | 62 days |
| United States | $410,700 | not published | not published |
City and state rows: Redfin, through May 2026 · U.S. row: Freddie Mac via FRED, April 2026 (MSPUS, quarterly)
What to do next in Arivaca Junction
What buyers should watch
- Months of supply, currently 3.0. It turns before price does — when it climbs past 6, sellers start taking offers they would have rejected a quarter earlier.
- The share of listings cutting price, currently 33.3%. A listing that has already cut once is the one most likely to accept below asking.
- The gap between 5% and 20% down here is $125 a month in principal and interest alone, before mortgage insurance. That gap, not the price, is usually what decides your timeline.
- Rate moves. At 6.66%, every full point of rate change moves the payment on a $130,000 home more than a 5% price change does.
- Your credit tier before you shop, not after — it sets the rate you are quoted. Run your numbers first.
What sellers should know
- The median Arivaca Junction listing goes under contract in 9 days. If yours passes that mark, the market is telling you the price is wrong — not that you need more showings.
- Homes here close at 86.7% of asking. Price to that ratio from day one rather than chasing the market down in cuts.
- In the last published month Arivaca Junction added 1 new listings against 1 sales — more clearing than arriving, which is the better window to list.
- Comparable ZIP-level pricing inside Arivaca Junction varies more than the citywide median suggests — check the ZIP pages below before you set a number.
Homes for sale in Arivaca Junction
There are currently 3 homes listed for sale in Arivaca Junction, Arizona. The median listing price is $150K.
Active listings
3
Homes on market
Median list price
$150K
Avg. days on market
9
Days until sale
New this week
1
Newly listed
How much do homes cost in Arivaca Junction by property type?
How the Arivaca Junction, AZ market breaks down across single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Redfin, through May 2026
| Property type | Median price | Price / sq ft | Homes sold | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single-family | $130,000 | $125/sq ft | 1 | 9 days |
Who lives in Arivaca Junction?
American Community Survey estimates for Arivaca Junction. U.S. Census ACS, 2023
Population
650
Households
254
Median income
$66,250/yr
Median age
51.5 years
Owner-occupied
100.0%
Median home value
$148,300
Mean commute
25.8 min
100.0% of occupied homes in Arivaca Junction are owner-occupied, and the rest are rented — which is the share that decides how much of the local housing stock ever reaches the for-sale market.
Which cities are near Arivaca Junction, AZ?
Ordered by distance from Arivaca Junction, not by size. Compare Arivaca Junction side by side with any of them.
Arivaca Junction housing market FAQ
Is Arivaca Junction a buyer's or seller's market?
Arivaca Junction, AZ is currently a balanced market. That read comes from 3.0 months of supply, homes going under contract in about 9 days, and sellers getting 86.7% of their asking price in the last month Redfin published (May 2026).
How much do homes cost in Arivaca Junction?
The median sale price in the last month Redfin published was $130,000, about $125 per square foot.
Is Arivaca Junction cheaper than the rest of Arizona?
Arivaca Junction's median sale price of $130,000 is 71% lower than the Arizona statewide median of $453,800, and 68% below the U.S. median of $410,700. Both figures are for the same period.
How long do homes take to sell in Arivaca Junction?
Homes in Arivaca Junction, AZ spent a median of 9 days on market before going under contract, versus 62 days statewide. Under three weeks means well-priced listings move before most buyers can schedule a second showing. (Redfin, through May 2026.)
What income do you need to buy a home in Arivaca Junction?
At the current 30-year fixed rate of 6.66%, 20% down on a $130,000 home is about $668 a month in principal and interest. Lenders typically want that under 28% of gross income, which works out to roughly $28,643 a year before taxes, insurance, HOA dues or mortgage insurance. The local median household income is $66,250.
Are home prices rising in Arivaca Junction?
Redfin's last published year-over-year change for Arivaca Junction, AZ was -46.9%, measured through May 2026. That series is frozen; treat it as a historical reading rather than a current trend.
What are the cheapest ZIP codes in Arivaca Junction?
Arivaca Junction ZIP-level sale prices are not all published for the same period, so ranking them would compare different months. The ZIP pages listed on this page show what we hold for each one individually.
Is now a good time to buy in Arivaca Junction?
That depends on your timeline, not on a headline. What the data says today: Arivaca Junction, AZ is a balanced market with 3.0 months of supply, the 30-year fixed rate is 6.66%. Properties Incorporated publishes the data; it does not give financial advice.
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